With just six days left until Selection Sunday, 34 bids have been locked up by teams who don't need to win another game to get into the field.
The most recent to nail down a bid were Louisville, which beat Syracuse for the second time this season; Virginia Tech, which won at Georgia Tech for its third top-50 win and its 10th in the ACC; Northern Iowa, which won the Missouri Valley Conference tournament; and Wake Forest, which picked up its sixth top-50 victory by beating Clemson.
When you add in the 15 teams coming from low-major single-bid conferences, that brings the total number of claimed spots up to 49.
Toss in teams like UTEP, Cal, Old Dominion, Utah State, Siena, and Kent State, which have anywhere from a great chance to a remote chance of snagging an at-large even if they don't win their conference tournaments, and you're left with only 10 available spots for 22 bubble teams.
This slideshow will explain what those schools need to do during Championship Week in order to earn a bid to the Big Dance.
But first, here are my current projections for the 34 locks and three potential single-bid conference winners:
1 - Kansas, Kentucky, Syracuse, Duke
2 - New Mexico, Purdue, Kansas State, West Virginia
3 - Ohio State, Villanova, Baylor, Pittsburgh
4 - Texas A&M, Michigan State, Temple, Tennessee
5 - Georgetown, Butler, Vanderbilt, Wisconsin
6 - Xavier, Maryland, BYU, Richmond
7 - Missouri, Clemson, Gonzaga, Texas
8 - UTEP, Florida State, Oklahoma State, Northern Iowa
9 - Louisville, California, Wake Forest, Virginia Tech
10 - Old Dominion
And now my projections for the bottom of the bracket:
12- Utah State
13 - Siena, Kent State, Cornell, Murray State
14 - Oakland, Wofford, Weber State, Sam Houston State
15 - UCSB, Morgan State, East Tennessee State, North Texas
16 - Stony Brook, Quinnipiac, Lehigh, Winthrop, Jackson State
Scroll through to find out who fits into those crucial middle 10 spots.