5. Mike Hart, RB, Michigan
Why he should win: He basically saved Michigan's season with gutty performances in the middle of the schedule. While everyone remembers the App State loss, no one seems to remember that Hart ran for 188 yards while playing less than 3 quarters due to injury.
Why he shouldn't win: He's missed parts of several games due to injury, and he's missed a few games entirely. And the fact is that voters care about your team's success, and they won't care how well Hart played against App State.
Verdict: No chance to win it, but if he goes off against OSU and leads an upset, then he could find himself in New York
4. Darren McFadden, RB, Arkansas
Why he should win: He's probably the best player in the nation, which is what the award is techincally about. Oh yeah, and he blew up a good South Carolina defense for 321 yards last week.
Why he shouldn't win: While he has his marquee performance, he's been a no-show in several other games this year, including some Arkansas losses. He hasn't had the consistancy of the three below him.
Verdict: If he can build off of his huge game, he's a lock to make it to New York, but the Razorbacks will need a strong finish to give D-Mac a realistic shot at winning.
Why he should win: He's put up rediculous numbers on one of the top teams in the country. He's a dual threat QB that has limited his mistakes.
Why he shouldn't win: He doesn't have that marquee game that voters look for. Missouri also hasn't beaten a ranked team all season.
Verdict: He's well under the radar at this point, but with big games in wins over Kansas and Oklahoma(Big 12 title game) could vault him to the top.
2. Tim Tebow, QB, Florida
Why he should win: He's been the nation's most exciting, and possibly best player all year long. He's carried a Gator team that was decimated by graduation to a top 15 ranking.
Why he shouldn't win: The Gators have 3 losses, and he had his worst performance of the year in the loss against Auburn.
Verdict: He's a close second behind Dixon, but with some more huge performances, he could regain the lead. An appearence in the SEC title game wouldn't hurt either.
Why he should win: The Heisman is all about big game performance, and Dixon came up huge against ASU on Saturday, compiling over 200 yards and 4 TD, with no turnovers. He's been steady all year, is in the top 10 in passer rating, and leads the #3 team in the nation.
Why he shouldn't win: Speaking of big games, two of his three INT's on the year came in the home loss against Cal. While that loss looked OK at the time, it now looks horrible.
Verdict: Off of his huge performance in Oregon's huge win, Dixon is the favorite to take home the statue.
Just missed the cut: Graham Harrell, Matt Ryan, Colt Brennan, Andre Woodson, Michael Crabtree, Pat White