Gambling on the Games: NFL Total Wins

Dan Boone by Columnist Written on June 26, 2008
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, I don't see them making the eight wins with that offensive offense. Lay the $120 to $100 on the Bears not winning nine games.

The improved Minnesota Vikings are also at eight wins. They are an emerging squad, with one of the most talented offensive and defensive lines in the league, and the best young player in running back Adrian Peterson.

The Vikings only Achilles heel is their weakness at quarterback. But I roll the bones on the big boys on the lines beating up the Bears, Lions, and Packers.

And Atlanta, Arizona, Carolina, Tampa, and Houston, putting them well over the eight wins. Lay the $130 to win $100 on the Vikings ravaging the NFC. Only T Jackson throwing interceptions and creating eight-man defensive fronts for Peterson can stop them from sailing into the playoffs.

What about the always good, but not quite Super Bowl good, Jacksonville Jaguars? 10.5 wins seems high for a team that plays the Indianapolis Colts twice, and always seems to drop a game or two it should win.

The Jags play both the NFC North and the AFC North. On a hunch, I'll wager against a conservative coach with a rebuilt defense.

Lay the $135 to win $100 and say the Jags don't make eleven wins. It will be a wager one will be watching late into the season, as the Jags are solid and should get nine or ten wins.

The Oakland Raiders total is a lowly six. The Raiders have some beatable teams on the docket, with the Kansas City Chiefs twice, Buffalo Bills, the lowly Atlanta Falcons, the New York Jets, Houston Texans, and the rebuilding Baltimore Ravens and Miami Dolphins.

Can they split with the despised Denver Broncos?

I'd lay the $140 to win a $100 on the over. Even if they hit six wins, it's a push.  I peg 'em with wins over Atlanta, Miami, Baltimore, KC at home, and hope to steal two from the Jets, Texans, Broncos, Bills, Carolina, and Tampa Bay.

It will be a near thing for Raider backers, with Lane Kiffin's end always looming and a sorry offensive line. So, a minor play will keep the blood pressure low.

The Super Bowl champion New York Giants are set at nine wins. The New England Patriots stand at 12.5. No real feel on those two.

Parity makes this prop tougher. The old maxim that on any given Sunday the poorest team can beat the best team is especially true in the NFL. 

That's what the league and the networks wanted, and that's exactly what they got. So enjoy the games with a wager that can be enjoyed, or anguished about, every week of the season.

Now, the first coach fired prop....

Happy Hunting!

Roll dem old bones....

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written on June 26, 2008 Preview/Prediction

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