Last week's record: 14-2
Overall record: 140-68
Lock of the Week: 11-for-14
Indianapolis (13-0) @ Jacksonville (7-6): Obviously this was written well after this game's conclusion, but I had Indy winning a close, low-scoring game. I didn't think it would be the shootout that it was.
Dallas (8-5) @ New Orleans (13-0): There's no reason why Dallas' December troubles should end here. Lance Moore will be returning for the Saints, which means more four-receiver sets that Dallas will not stop. The Cowboys may keep it close because of how slowly the Saints can start out, but the game will become a blowout in the third quarter.
New Orleans wins, 40-20
New England (8-5) @ Buffalo (5-8): If the Pats come out and take care of business like they should, they will win relatively easily. If they play like they did last week or even how they did in Week One, they may take a tough loss. Expect a little bit of both to happen, resulting in the road team getting the win.
New England wins, 24-13
Arizona (8-5) @ Detroit (2-11): Both teams are coming off of pretty bad losses, but one of these teams is much better than the other. All good teams have off weeks, and last week was Arizona's. They won't have another game like that.
Arizona wins, 35-17
Miami (7-6) @ Tennessee (6-7): Vince Young's status is key in this game. The Titans still have an outside chance at the playoffs, and they need Young if they're going to sweep the rest of their games. Kerry Collins was pretty bad as a starter this season, and the Dolphins are a good enough team to take advantage of bad decisions. Either way, the Dolphins pick up the win.
Miami wins, 21-16
Kansas City wins, 13-6
Houston (6-7) @ St. Louis (1-12): Houston looked the best they've looked in a long time in last week's rout of the Seahawks. The Rams have looked bad all year and their only weapon, Steven Jackson, missed practice on Friday.
Houston wins, 27-3 (Lock of the Week)
Atlanta (6-7) @ New York Jets (7-6): The Falcons looked much better in week two of the Chris Redman era, but the Jets will make it pretty rough on him. The Jets need to keep the ball on the ground, play great defense, and keep the ball out of Mark Sanchez's hands so he doesn't screw anything up.
New York Jets win, 20-12
I say no.
Philly wins, 31-16
Chicago (5-8) @ Baltimore (7-6): Jay Cutler and Lovie Smith look like they can't wait for this underwhelming year to be over. Cutler can't keep the ball out of the other team's hands, and the Ravens' defense has looked better over the last few weeks, outside of the Green Bay game. Joe Flacco and Ray Rice will handle the rest.
Baltimore wins, 27-14
And with the Raiders starting Charlie Frye over JaMarcus Russell, is there any way Russell's back next season?
Denver wins, 30-10
Cincinnati (9-4) @ San Diego (10-3): This will probably end up determining who gets the second seed and a first-round bye. San Diego is on a ridiculous streak, and Cincy has had trouble beating the league's top teams. The Chargers won't be able to run the ball effectively, but they still have Philip Rivers, and that will be enough for the victory.
San Diego wins, 27-20
Green Bay (9-4) @ Pittsburgh (6-7): On paper, there is no reason to pick Pittsburgh. They've lost five straight games (three of which were to the Chiefs, Raiders, and Browns), and they looked lifeless last week. The Packers have looked great since the Tampa Bay loss, and they're getting ready to make a playoff run. Regardless, the Steelers will not lose six straight games.
Pittsburgh wins, 24-23
Tampa Bay (1-12) @ Seattle (5-8): Both teams are bad, Tampa Bay is worse.
Seattle wins, 17-9
Minnesota (11-2) @ Carolina (5-8): Carolina gave the Pats a game last week, but the Vikings are better than New England. The Panthers won't have the opportunity to hang around against a team as loaded as the Vikings.
Minnesota wins, 31-17
New York Giants (7-6) @ Washington (4-9): Based on how these two teams have played during the second half of the season, the Redskins are better. Couple that with the way the Giants' defense has fallen apart, and you've go the formula for an upset.
Washington wins, 26-18