Say Bye To Bay and Hello Holliday

scott bissettContributor IDecember 2, 2009

ST. LOUIS, MO - OCTOBER 10:  Matt Holliday #15 of the St. Louis Cardinals reacts to hitting the third out in the eighth inning against the Los Angeles Dodgers in Game Three of the NLDS during the 2009 MLB Playoffs at Busch Stadium on October 10, 2009 in St. Louis, Missouri. (Photo by Dilip Vishwanat/Getty Images)
Dilip Vishwanat/Getty Images

Thank you Jason Bay for a wonderful 1 and half years but we must say goodbye and welcome what should be the new left fielder Matt Holliday. Matt Holliday is two years younger with better career stats than Bay. Over the last 6 yrs Holliday has a Batting average of .318 to Bays .280 with Bay batting .267 in 09 and Holliday at .317 between Oakland and St. Louis. So first off Holliday is a better hitter for average which falls in line with the rest of the Red Sox lineup. Holliday is a more patient hitter as well with less strikeouts 606 to Bays 896 which will help Big Papi out because he will have the protection he lost when Manny was traded. RBI's are a wash at 592 for Holliday to Bays 610.

Although both will be pricey somewhere between 15-20 million per for 6 yrs. Theo Epstein would be more inclined to give that length and money to a guy who is younger and has more upside like Holliday. The only way i see the Red Sox keeping Jason Bay is if excepts somewhere in the neighborhood of 10-12 million for 3 years.

The Red Sox in the last 5 years have been reluctant to go over 4 years on a contract with a player who is 30 yrs old or older. I see that trend continuing with Jason Bay as well as with Josh Beckett who is in the final year of his deal and will be 30. If the Red Sox don't package Josh Beckett for a power bat or Roy Halladay i would be surprised. If that doesn't happen i don't See Josh Beckett in a Red Sox uniform next year.

As always this off-season will be interesting to so what happens.