When oddsmakers opened the total for the Saints Patriots Monday Night tilt at 55.5, many felt that it was the easiest bet of the year. Both teams were at the top of nearly every offensive category, so a game in the high 50s or even 60s seemed like a strong possibility.
The Over got plenty of action throughout the week, forcing Vegas and offshore sportbooks to bump up the total, in an attempt to attract more money on the under.
It reached as high as 58 at some books.
But people still kept on betting the over. In fact when kickoff rolled around, approximately 65% of the action was on the over.
And for most of the game, things looks like they were going according to plan. With seven minutes left the Saints led 38-17.
All that was required was a field goal. Christmas was going to come early.
That opportunity came at 5:26 when Saints Kicker John Carney lined up for a 37 yard field goal.
Carney missed the field goal.
Christmas did come early, but for sportsbooks. The Patriots took out Brady and backup Brain Hoyer could not produce a touchdown.
The total stayed at 55.
Bettors will have another day to beat Vegas, but there is a reason why those who take the bets build hotels and the rest of us steal from our savings to bet the over.