Top Ten Mets Prospects
Okay. So Ive decided it is time for me to rank the players I think are the top 10 in the Mets organization. Here they are. They are here. Apparently this must be 300 characters long, but what if I dont need that many?
I do this sort of thing every year, I have worked in Minor League Baseball so while I am no scout, I do have some idea what I am looking at. Comment, agree, disagree have fun with it. But these are the guys who I think are the 10 best players in the mets system
Kudos to the person who figures out who is in the above photo.
#1 Ike Davis 1B/LF
I place Davis in the number one spot not because he has the most upside of the bunch, he doesnt, but because I firmly believe that he will be a high quality 1st baseman in the big leagues, SOON. Davis occasionally has some trouble with breaking pitches, but this season he will start in AAA Buffalo and will get plenty of practice. However, on top of Davis being amongst the top hitting 1st base prospects in baseball (performance wise) he is also a high quality fielder (who can also play LF).
Projection: Starting 1st baseman; .275-.300 25-30Hrs type guy
#2 Fernando Martinez OF
Easily the player slipping in the ranks in the minds of many (and Baseball America) however, we forget that Martinez is just 21. If he can remain healthy next season he will likely make huge strides in his performance. I have had the opportunity to watch him play closely and on multiple occasions, and I am still very impressed by the young outfielder. He runs well, fields well and has tremendous bat speed. His AAA numbers made major improvements and I expect to see more from him this coming season. Dont lose hope, this kid can be a star. (and by star i mean see Carlos Beltran)
Hopeful Projection: Star/Starter: RF: At his best I can see Martinez becoming a 30/30 type player, if he only partially develops, I can still see him becoming a quality #2 hitter (.280-15-70-25).
#3 Jenrry Mejia SP
Mejia, is the top ranked prospect according to BA. He is just 20 years old and will be pitching in AA for all if not most of the season. He sits in the mid 90s on his fastball, however he ultimately tops out around 97mph. The movement on his pitches is considered downright nasty. He needs to make improvements on his control. However, the most fascinating thing about Mejia is his groundball rate, which would have been amongst the league leaders in the MLB this season...strike outs and groundballs?! Sign me up.
Projection: Potential Ace or #2 starter
#4 Wilmer Flores SS/3B/OF
Far from being the world greatest athlete, Flores makes up with his incredible baseball skills. Born in 1991, Flores still has a long way to go, but his potential is what puts him up in the number 4 spot. He has a big frame, which is likely to fill out and turn his gaps doubles power into home runs. For a player of his age he has great eyes, has a good feeling for the strikezone and powerful wrists. He has a decent arm, and is a moderate runner. He currently plays SS, but will eventually have to move because he isnt the greatest fielder now, and will become to big for SS sooner than later. I believe he projects well at 3rd, or in the OF
Projection: He could be the next Miguel Cabrera. but then again, he is so young it is hard to to tell. His potential is close to limitless.
#5 Brad Holt P
Brad Holt throws really hard. Alongside Mejia he has one of the best fastballs in the system. Coming out of college, his biggest problem was how far behind his secondary pitches were. However, while they still are not great, they have really come along. Holt has been a dominating force while on the mound. He throws in the low to mid 90's sitting around 94 mph. Some scouts and front office personnel doubt that he is a starting pitcher and is destined for the back end of a bullpen.
Projection: #2 or very good #3 starter or a Closer.
#6 Jon Niese LSP
It is really a big deal for me to put Niese up this high as I was not his biggest fan for awhile. However, I now believe that Niese will see major league success afterall. If I had to rate his curveball today (on the 20-80 scale) I would give it a 70. It is that nasty. However, here is the biggest thing for me regarding Niese. He is a smart kid, who has shown he works hard and has the ability to adapt. When I saw him in AA Binghamton, even though he was not pitching, he was glued to his pitching coach discussing and keeping track of what he saw. He is a real learner. And by the way, I will also have to give a shout out to Toby Hyde of Metsminorleagueblog.com, I hope he doesnt mind my linking this to you because it is a MUST read: http://www.metsminorleagueblog.com/2009/05/13/jon-niese-by-pitchfx/
Projection: 3rd starter, who may be capable of being a 2. more likely a 3.
#7 Josh Thole C
Josh Thole, is a difficult specimen to project. However, I do see him as a starting catcher if his improvements behind the plate continue. He hits for contact very very well and his eye is very good. His catching is moderate, but seriously improving.
Projection: At best he is a starting catcher, capable of batting second alla Paul Lo Duca when he was with the Mets. Anything less then best he is probably a talented backup catcher capable of getting hits.
#8 Reese Havens SS/2B
Reese Havens is another odd one. He is currently a SS, but will probably be a 2B in the big leagues (as opposed to being a Catcher, which is what I thought on draft day). This is supported by the fact that Jose Reyes is blocking him and the fact that he is playing 2B in the AFL. During his days as a professional, his numbers havent been incredible, but he has shown some plate discipline and some power in his bat. He is a mature guy and if he stays healthy will probably move along fast.
Projection: Starting 2B at best, anything short of that a good utility INF.
#9 Kirk Nieuwenhuis OF
You guys should learn how to spell his name, especially if you expect to keep scores at games. Nieuwenhuis' best skill is his defense, which ranks tops in the Mets minor league system, however he has shown us that he can hit. At the beginning of this season it seemed like he had trouble hitting inside pitches and he also had problems with using the whole field. Since then however, we have seen this turn around as he has begun to effectively hit inside pitches for power and has also begun to use the entire field. Again a tip of the hat to Toby Hyde at mets minor league blog: http://www.metsminorleagueblog.com/2009/09/09/kirk-nieuwenhuis-can-now-pull-a-baseball/
Projection: While I really see him becoming a 4th OF, it is possible that he improves enough to become a big league regular.
#10 Jeurys Familia P
Jeurys Familia rounds out my top 10. Familia, tops out at around 93-94 and sits around 90-93. However his is still just 19 and will probably add a few mph to that by the time he is ready for big league action. He is aggressive and high energy, and will throw to you inside, so watch out. He throws a weak changeup, that will hopefull improve given his age and throws a slurve like curve ball with some serious bite (he rarely leaves it up in the zone too, which is nice)
Projection: It is still very early to tell, but he can probably round out the back end of a rotation, or become a valuable contributor in the bullpen.
Rueben Tejada 2B/SS : Proven he can hit, still probably projects as a utility INF.
Kyle Allen SP: 19 years old, and will probably crack the top 10 sooner than later, will probably become a relief pitcher, but if his slider improves and he adds some heat to his FB, who knows?
Jefry Marte 3B: 18 or 19 years old, has middle of the order potential.
Juan Urbina SP: the son of famous murder- I mean closer Ugeth. He has a really polished set of skills for a 16 year old. But he is 16, in 9 years he will be 25, which is maybe when he will debut? Or how about in 7 years when he is 23, point being you wont see him in the bigs until at least 2015.