Last week's record: 7-8
Overall record: 97-47
Lock of the Week: 7-for-10
Miami (4-5) @ Carolina (4-5): Before Ronnie Brown was placed on IR, Miami was an easy pick. However, Brown is such a big part of the Dolphins' success that it will not be easy to replace him, especially during a short week. Carolina played their most complete game of the year last week and they're at home, so expect them to win a close one.
Carolina wins, 19-14
Washington (3-6) @ Dallas (6-3): Dallas slipped up a little bit in Green Bay, but they should get back on track here. Washington is pretty bad and there's no way that the Cowboys let them come into Cowboy Stadium and win this game. Dallas will blow this open in the second half.
Dallas wins, 30-13 (Lock of the Week)
Cleveland (1-8) @ Detroit (1-8): It's a sad state of affairs when the most relevant thing about the Browns right now involves LeBron James. Nonetheless, the Browns' offense is an embarrassment and Detroit is improving, so the home team takes it.
Detroit wins, 21-9
San Francisco (4-5) @ Green Bay (5-4): This is an extremely important game because the loser has a long, difficult climb into the playoffs. The Niners won last week, but they didn't play particularly well, while the Pack looked fantastic against Dallas. Green Bay can be inconsistent, but if they play anything like they did last week, don't expect them to lose.
Green Bay wins, 24-16
Pittsburgh (6-3) @ Kansas City (2-7): Unless the Chiefs play like they did against the Cowboys, this will be a blowout. Pittsburgh will probably come out a little upset after last week's loss, so Kansas City's offense will get beat up pretty badly.
Pittsburgh wins, 28-6
Seattle (3-6) @ Minnesota (8-1): The Seahawks will not win this game. Minnesota is playing on another level and Seattle is too beat up on defense to bottle up Brett Favre and his weapons. Seattle may keep it close for a little while, but they're not leaving with a win.
Minnesota wins, 27-17
Atlanta (5-4) @ New York Giants (5-4): The Giants have to win this game. They will not make the playoffs if they lose five in a row. Atlanta can still afford to eat a loss, if only for the psyche of the two teams. The Giants should win this on pure determination, as they understand how important this game is.
New York Giants win, 20-14
New Orleans (9-0) @ Tampa Bay (1-8): This is a trap game for the Saints. They have faced a string of bad teams and they have a big Monday night game next week with the Pats. There's a possibility, especially with how they've been playing lately, that they look past the improving Bucs and lose. It won't happen, but this will not be a blowout.
New Orleans wins, 26-17
Buffalo (3-6) @ Jacksonville (5-4): The Jags can really get on a roll if they beat Buffalo. Their remaining schedule isn't particularly tough and they are playing their best ball of the season. The key for Buffalo will be turnovers. They're good against the pass, but they won't stop Maurice Jones-Drew.
Jacksonville wins, 24-17
Indianapolis (9-0) @ Baltimore (5-4): This may end up being a blowout. Baltimore's defense is living off of reputation and Peyton Manning is playing at the highest level he's ever played. If Baltimore can get a couple of big plays on Indy's young secondary, they may be able to pull off the upset, but they couldn't even put up big numbers on Cleveland's sorry defense.
Indy wins, 34-24
Arizona (6-3) @ St. Louis (1-8): The Cardinals are beginning to hit their stride. St. Louis is starting to look like an NFL team and they took the Saints down to the wire last week. With that said, the Cards won't come out as sloppy as the Saints did, although Arizona would be wise to shut the door early.
Arizona wins, 27-17
San Diego (6-3) @ Denver (6-3): Denver's hopes may hinge on whether or not Kyle Orton is able to go. Chris Simms hasn't been the same since the serious injury he got in Tampa and he hasn't played in a big game in years. San Diego is on a hot streak, while Denver is in the midst of another collapse.
Denver won the first game, but this may be more important for them. Their defense has to become more aggressive and the offense must make big plays. Unfortunately for them, the Chargers will just be too much for them.
San Diego wins, 23-18
Cincinnati (7-2) @ Oakland (2-7): The Raiders have finally benched JaMarcus Russell in favor of Bruce Gradkowski, but ultimately, it won't matter. The Bengals are one of the best teams in the league and should win handily.
Cincy wins, 24-10
New York Jets (4-5) @ New England (6-3): Despite Bill Belichick's controversial decision, the Pats are still one of the best teams in the league and I'm sure they haven't forgotten all of the trash that the Jets talked leading up to their Week Two matchup. Nine weeks later, the Jets are a mess and the Pats are much better. Expect New England to blow this open late in the game.
New England wins, 35-21
Philadelphia (5-4) @ Chicago (4-5): This will come down to turnovers as both teams have a tendency to become very sloppy. Obviously, Brian Westbrook will not play, taking a weapon from Donovan McNabb, but McNabb should still have enough against Chicago's average defense.
Philly wins, 20-13
Tennessee (3-6) @ Houston (5-4): If Houston gives him a chance, Chris Johnson will take this game over. The Texans must contain him and make Vince Young to beat them, which Young has not been forced to do this year. Tennessee can't allow Houston's passing attack to get going, but they haven't showed they can do that either.
Houston wins, 28-24