Week 11 Point Spread Picks for the NFL 81-61 to Date

Thomas MorelandSenior Writer INovember 17, 2009

PITTSBURGH - NOVEMBER 15:  Ben Roethlisberger #7  of the Pittsburgh Steelers throws a pass against the Cincinnati Bengals at Heinz Field on November 15, 2009 in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.  (Photo by Rick Stewart/Getty Images)
Rick Stewart/Getty Images

I survived some non-covers to go 8-7 last week. But overall, not bad so far at 20 games over .500.

Who are these people on Yahoo that have 120 wins and 22 losses? That's sick against the points.

Probably people with many, many identities and random picks. No earthling can pick games against the line like that.

Anyway, to the business at hand. Pittsburgh will beat Kansas City with many catches by Ward and Miller, and a healthy Mendenhall dose.

Kansas City lost Bowe for four games, plus Larry Johnson departs as well. Pittsburgh is not Oakland, and this should be over by halftime. Pittsburgh and I give the 10 points.

Ronnie Brown is out for Miami, so the defense will concentrate on Williams, and shutting down Henne's longer pass illusions. Carolina has no where to go but up. They are doing better.

The line is Carolina by three, which I suggest is the correct play on this game.

Dallas at home, should come back after scoring only seven last week against Green Bay. What's really up with that? The Packers lost to Tampa Bay.

Take Dallas in a good effort to cover the 11.

Detroit is favored by 3 1/2 points over Cleveland, and although Detroit should win, this spread is worrisome. Go with your good impulses and talent comparison on both teams. Detriot wins by 8-10 points.

The Packers are at home again for the second week in a row, hosting the San Francisco 49ers. Singletary will have these guys ready to rock. I like the Niners as an underdog getting 6 1/2 points.

Minnesota is at home against Seattle and 11 should be a decent number to take the Vikings to dominate this game. Something along the lines of 31-10 could be the score of this one.

The Giants are favored by 6.5 over Atlanta, and I think the Giants will win, but by less than the spread. I like Atlanta to step it up and compete to the end in this one.

New Orleans is in Tampa Bay, who has become competitive in the last three games. Josh Freeman is stepping up, and is a good quarterback to grab in fantasy if you have an underperformer to drop.

However, New Orleans will have way to much for this defense to deal with. Take New Orleans to keep on rolling over the Bucs. The line is 11.5.

Jacksonville, although playing better, is favored by too many giving 8.5 to Buffalo. I think Buffalo hangs in there in this one, and could play well enough to keep it close.

Just seems like too many points to a team that lost to Seattle 42-0.

Baltimore is fighting for it's playoff life and finds a 9-0 Indianapolis knocking. The Ravens are favored by one. As I, and the oddsmakers know, Indy will lose one soon—as defensive injuries mount, plus running back issues. Take the Ravens in a small upset.

Arizona is really stepping it up and should be good to go against the Rams , and are favored by nine.

San Diego is favored on the road over Denver. San Diego is hot and lookling to get a one game division lead. Denver has lost three in a row. I like San Diego in this one by a couple of points.

The red hot Bengals will beat the Raiders, by a few. Nine and a half seems like a lot, but we shall see how Carson Palmer plays leading that division. Don't get complacent, Bengals. You will see Pittsburgh one more time when it really counts. Take the Bengals in this one.

New England has a home game against the not so high flying Jets, now at 4-5. New England is favored by 11.5, but who can bet on the Jets except Jet fans? Take New England and give the points.

Philadelphia is in Chicago and needs to step it up this week. Chicago is hopeless, and Philadelphia is a better team. This will be it if the Eagles can't get a win. I will take McNabb to manage this game properly and the Eagle defense to hold Forte to a minimum of damage. The Eagles win by 4.

Houston can really make a serious playoff run with a win against the surging Titans, now at 3-6, while Houston is 5-4 and hungry. All of a sudden, if Tennessee wins they are only one game behind Houston. Things change in a hurry in the NFL sometimes.

I will take Houston to get the win, and make a playoff run this season. That is, make the playoffs for the first time.

Have a nice week.

Thomas [NFL Mikee] Moreland