Kansas City 20 OAKLAND (-2.0) 17
The Raiders should be improved with starting offensive linemen Robert Gallery and Cornell Green both expected back from injury this week and quarterback JaMarcus Russell will enjoy seeing his favorite receiver Chaz Schilens suited up for the first time all season. However, Kansas City is also improved now that they've dumped RB Larry Johnson and his 2.9 ypr average and added WR Chris Chambers to the receiving corps.
Chambers was struggling in San Diego this season, but he's to talent and performed well in his first game with the Chiefs - gaining 70 yards on 4 passes thrown to him. My math model picks this game even and Kansas City applies to a decent 87-51-4 ATS statistical indicator that plays on road underdogs in games involving two teams that get out-rushed by at least 30 yards per game.
It's also usually best to go against the Raiders at home, where they are 10-34 ATS when not getting at least 9 points, including 1-17 ATS against divisional opponents.
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