1. Ohio State Buckeyes (.9416)
Ohio State controls their own destiny, but the Buckeyes have yet to play most of the hard teams on their schedule.
QB Todd Boeckman has tossed 16 TDs against six INTs. The defense has been the strength in Columbus.
Remaining tests: @ Penn St. Oct. 27, Wisconsin Nov. 3, Michigan Nov. 17, Illinois Nov. 10.
If Ohio State wins out, it's tough to keep them out of New Orleans.
2. USF Bulls (.9200)
Despite the Bulls' 6-0 start, I can't call them a powerhouse right now.
As I see it, USF wouldn't be able to hang with LSU, Ohio State, or Oklahoma. Jim Leavitt's team has also shown a lack of class by running it up against teams like UCF, whom them beat 64-12.
Remaining Tests: @ Rutgers Oct. 18, Cincinnati Nov. 3, Louisville Nov. 17.
USF controls their own destiny, but I see them losing at least once.
3. Boston College Eagles (.8906)
QB Matt Ryan has led BC to its best start in a long time, but their win at Notre Dame was less than impressive—especially given ND's 14-point third quarter.
Andre Callender is also worth mentioning on this Eagles offense. He burned the Irish D for two scores.
BC is rolling, but they have some pretty big games left.
Remaining Tests: @ Virginia Tech Oct. 25, Florida St. Nov. 3, @ Clemson Nov. 17.
BC certainly has a chance—if they can be ready for two rigorous tests on the road.
4. LSU Tigers (.8400)
The Tigers will have to do a little bit of scoreboard watching before the end of the year.
LSU has struggled in the last weeks, squeaking out wins against Tulane and Florida and losing to Kentucky in Lexington.
The Tigers' matchup against Auburn this week has major SEC championship implications. Best-case scenario: LSU wins out and beats an 11-1, top-five UK team for the title in Atlanta.
Remaining Tests: Auburn Oct. 20, @ Alabama Nov. 3.
The Tigers don't entirely control their own destiny—but if they beat a top-five team in the SEC Championship Game, I think they'll be in the Big Easy on Jan. 7th.
5. Oklahoma Sooners (.7623)
OU notched a big win last weekend against undefeated Missouri.
Redshirt Freshman Sam Bradford has been the biggest story in Norman this fall, teaming with RBs DeMarco Murray and Allen Patrick on a high-powered offense.
Other than a letdown at Colorado, OU has weathered the toughest part of its schedule. The Sooners can help themselves by winning out, but will need a lot of help from the teams ahead of them.
Remaining Tests: Texas A&M Nov. 3.
As it stands, Nov. 3rd looks to be a very busy day in college football: Wisconsin @ Ohio State, Cincinnati @ USF, Florida State @ Boston College, LSU @ Alabama, and Texas A&M @ Oklahoma all in one afternoon.
Call me crazy, but I see LSU and Oklahoma meeting in New Orleans for the second time in five years.