2009-2010 BCS and January Bowl Projections: Round One

Kevin TrahanAnalyst INovember 8, 2009

MIAMI - JANUARY 08:  The Oklahoma Sooners take on the Florida Gators during the FedEx BCS National Championship Game at Dolphin Stadium on January 8, 2009 in Miami, Florida.  (Photo by Michael Heiman/Getty Images)
Michael Heiman/Getty Images

Each week, I will update my BCS and January bowl projections. Here goes round one.

BCS National Championship: Florida vs. Texas

As has been predicted all season, Florida and Texas will likely meet for the BCS National Championship. Texas's cupcake schedule leaves relatively no challenges ahead, and Florida's only remaining hurdle looks to be Alabama in the SEC Championship game. Both teams have looked much better in recent weeks and this could make for a very interesting National Championship.

Fedex Orange Bowl: Georgia Tech vs. Cincinnati

The Orange Bowl looks like another yawner for the second year in a row and may be the least intriguing match-up of all the January Bowls. Both teams are solid, but neither are spectacular, and while Georgia Tech is highly overrated, it shouldn't have much of a problem knocking off an overrated Big East Champion.

Tostitos Fiesta Bowl: Iowa vs. USC

Iowa will likely end the season 10-2, with a probable loss to Ohio State next week in the Horseshoe, considering they are forced to start a redshirt freshman quarterback. USC will also likely finish the season at 10-2 and both teams will probably have losses to an underwhelming opponent and a Rose Bowl team. Both will likely finish in the top 14, and with their reputations for great traveling fans and top money makers for bowl, they will be taken by the Fiesta Bowl.

Allstate Sugar Bowl: Alabama vs. TCU

Alabama doesn't look nearly as impressive as they did at the beginning of the season, but they still are a solid team that will likely end the season with one loss, that coming to Florida in the SEC Championship game. TCU has had an impressive season so far, with wins over BYU and a few ACC teams. Although the schedule can't be considered tough, it is more impressive than Boise State's and the Horned Frogs will got the non-BCS bid into a BCS bowl.

Rose Bowl presented by Citi: Ohio State vs. Oregon

After a big win over Penn State, the Buckeyes catch a huge break, as Iowa will be without starting quarterback Ricky Stanzi next week at the Horseshoe. This means that the Buckeyes should be able to finish the season undefeated and make a trip to Pasadena. Oregon, on the other hand, suffered a tough loss to Stanford after a big win over USC. But it will take at least two more losses to knock the Ducks out of the Rose Bowl.

AT&T Cotton Bowl: Oklahoma State vs. Auburn

After the elite teams of the SEC and the Big 12, the level of competition takes a significant drop. Oklahoma State is likely the second best team in the Big 12, but won't be ranked in the top 14 of the final BCS rankings, and thus won't receive a spot in the BCS. The Cotton Bowl will take the Cowboys to face the fourth best SEC team, which will likely wind up being the Auburn Tigers.

Gator Bowl: Miami vs. Notre Dame

Clemson and Miami will both be fighting for a spot in the Chick-fil-A Bowl, but, because of Clemson's superior fanbase, they will be chosen to go to Atlanta. That leaves Miami to face Notre Dame in the Gator Bowl, in what could be one of the most entertaining games of the bowl season. Both teams have high-powered offenses and play shaky defense. Expect an exciting, high scoring game if these two teams meet in Jacksonville.

Capital One Bowl: Penn State vs. LSU

The Capital One Bowl could also shape up to be one of the better games of the bowl season. Both Penn State and LSU have two losses, but those losses came against very good teams (Iowa and Ohio State for Penn State and Florida and Alabama for LSU). This game will also mean bragging rights for the winner's conference, as it is the marquee bowl match-up between the rival conferences.

Outback Bowl: Wisconsin vs. Georgia

The Outback Bowl will take either Penn State, Iowa, or Wisconsin this year, with Wisconsin likely going to Tampa considering they will be the only one left of those three. But with any of those teams, the Big Ten will likely win the Outback Bowl for the second year in a row. The SEC will have to choose from Georgia and Tennessee, but either way, Wisconsin shouldn't have any problem coming away with the win.