Texas A&M (-3.0) 28 COLORADO 21

Over/Under Total: 56.5
10:30 AM Pacific Time Saturday, Nov-07

Colorado is now 4-18 ATS as an underdog of 15 points or less under coach Hawkins and a surging A&M squad, coming off consecutive impressive wins (52-30 at at Texas Tech and 35-10 over Iowa State), is likely to continue that trend for the Buffs.

My math model actually favors Texas A&M by 3 points, so the line is pretty fair, but the Aggies apply to a 70-20-1 ATS statistical match-up indicator and I like the match-up of A&M's pass rushing terror Von Miller (13.5 sacks this season) going up against Buffaloes' quarterback Tyler Hansen, who holds onto the ball way too long (17 sacks take on just 97 pass plays).

It's doubtful that something good will come out of that match-up for Colorado.