Dr. Bob's Betting Advice For VA TECH (-12.5) @ ECU

Robert Stoll

Correspondent Written on November 05, 2009

BLACKSBURG, VA - OCTOBER 29: Quarterback Tyrod Taylor #5 of the Virginia Tech University Hokies watches the action from the sidelines during the fourth quarter of the game against the North Carolina Tar Heels at Lane Stadium on October 29, 2009 in Blacksburg, Virginia. (Photo by Scott Halleran/Getty Images)

Scott Halleran/Getty Images

#22 Virginia Tech (-12.5) 33 EAST CAROLINA 18

Over/Under Total: 51.5

04:45 PM Pacific Time Thursday, Nov-05

East Carolina is not a good team this season, as the Pirates have been out-gained 5.2 yards per play to 5.5 yppl despite facing an easy schedule of teams that would get out-gained 5.0 yppl to 5.7 yppl by an average team.

Virginia Tech has lost consecutive games to Georgia Tech and North Carolina, but the Hokies are still a good team that has out-gained their opponents 6.3 yppl to 4.8 yppl despite facing teams that would average 5.6 yppl and allow 4.9 yppl to an average team.

My math model strongly favors Virginia Tech in this game, giving the Hokies a 59.8% chance of covering at -12 1/2 points, but East Carolina applies to a very good 56-14-1 ATS home underdog momentum situation that has a 56% chance of winning at a fair line. The math is stronger than the situation in this case and I'll lean with the Hokies at -14 or less.

Read more on my website www.drbobsports.com

I have 6 NCAA Best Bets and 5 NCAA Strong Opinions this week, and 3 NFL Best Bets and 2 NFL Strong Opinion!

Read an article about me in the Wall Street Journal

Follow me on Facebook and Twitter for updates on Best Bet releases

(0)

0 Comments

There are no comments yet. Get the conversation started by leaving the first comment

Loading more comments...

posted just now

Loading...
Nobody has liked this comment yet

Cancel

This comment and all replies have been deleted This comment has been deleted Undo delete

<form action="/accounts/create_from_facebook_comment" class="new_facebook_user" id="new_facebook_user" method="post">	<input id="facebook_user_facebook_id" name="facebook_user[facebook_id]" type="hidden" />
	<input id="facebook_user_proxied_email" name="facebook_user[proxied_email]" type="hidden" />
	<input id="facebook_user_profile_pic" name="facebook_user[profile_pic]" type="hidden" />
	<input id="facebook_user_profile_url" name="facebook_user[profile_url]" type="hidden" />
	<ul>
		<div id="facebook_questions">
			<li class="fb-question" id="facebook_full_name_container">
				<p class="question">
					<label for="facebook_user_use_full_name">Use your full name <strong class="full_name"></strong> on Bleacher Report?</label>
					<br />
				</p>
				<p class="options">
					<input name="facebook_user[use_full_name]" type="hidden" value="0" /><input checked="checked" id="facebook_user_use_full_name" name="facebook_user[use_full_name]" type="checkbox" value="1" />
					<label for="facebook_user_use_full_name">Yes</label>
				</p>
				<div class="input full-name-edit" style="display:none">
					<p>Edit your name for Bleacher Report:</p>
					<div class="fb-first-name">
						<label for="facebook_user_first_name">First Name <em>(required)</em></label>
						<input class="signup_text_input" id="facebook_user_first_name" name="facebook_user[first_name]" size="30" type="text" />
						
					</div>
	
					<div class="fb-last-name">
						<label for="facebook_user_last_name">Last Name <em>(required)</em></label>
						<input class="signup_text_input" id="facebook_user_last_name" name="facebook_user[last_name]" size="30" type="text" />
						
					</div>
				</div>
			</li>
			<li class="fb-question">
				<p class="question">
					<img src="/images/default-user-icon-medium.png" class="profile_pic" />
					<label for="facebook_user_use_profile_pic">Do you want to use your Facebook profile picture on Bleacher Report?</label>
				</p>
				<p class="options">
					<input name="facebook_user[use_profile_pic]" type="hidden" value="0" /><input checked="checked" id="facebook_user_use_profile_pic" name="facebook_user[use_profile_pic]" type="checkbox" value="1" />
					<label for="facebook_user_use_profile_pic">Yes</label>
					
				</p>
			</li>
			<li>
				<a id="facebook_connect_submit"><img src="/images/shared/submit.png" /></a>
			</li>
		</div>
	</ul>
</form>

8
reads

0
comments

0
likes

written on November 05, 2009 Preview/Prediction