Oregon, #10 in the BCS, is actually the weakest of all top tenners from a statistical standpoint. They're 19th overall in scoring defense, 41st in rush defense (!) and 19th in total defense.
However, statistics don't tell the whole story. Remove Nate Costa's pick six against UCLA and Washington's 13 points in garbage time, and the Ducks are trending upward hugely on defense.
They've allowed 3 points against Cal, 6 against Washington State, 3 against UCLA, and 6 against Washington in the last four games.
They've played great against the pass - their 10 interceptions have them at third most in the Pac-10. In fact, it's conceivable this will be the toughest defense USC has faced all year.
Only injuries can cost this team, and this, unfortunately, is where the Ducks lose a step. CB Walter Thurmond, a senior leader at the defensive back position, remains out for the year. True freshman and touted recruit Cliff Harris has filled in admirably, picking Jake Locker in last week's game, but he will be tested against the Trojans who have outstanding wide receivers.
Outside linebacker Josh Kaddu, a valuable player on UO's pass rush/TFL game, could be out with a foot injury - Chip Kelly reported he was day to day.
Starting cornerback Talmadge Jackson hurt his back in last weekend's 43-19 win at Washington, but he should be good to go.
The special teams game has created some spark for the Oregon offense. Freshman Kenjon Barner got the Ducks rolling on offense against UCLA with a return for a touchdown, and the Ducks have blocked three kicks total on the year, including last week's punt block for a touchdown. That opportunism might be sorely necessary if the Trojans play them tight.
As expected, USC will be the true test. If the Ducks can hold the potent USC offense under, say, twenty points, and score some of their own, this defense will go from just outside the BCS bubble to a contender in the conversation.
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