Florida State: Beating a Dead Horse or Rekindling a Fire?

Tyler LittleContributor IOctober 26, 2009

CHAPEL HILL, NC - OCTOBER 22:  Christian Ponder #7 of the Florida State Seminoles throws a pass against the North Carolina Tar Heels at Kenan Stadium on October 22, 2009 in Chapel Hill, North Carolina.  (Photo by Scott Halleran/Getty Images)

So with the should-be-in-heisman-talk-QB Christian Ponder, FSU has had probably the most bi-polar season out of any team in the FBS Div-1A pool. After easily the best football game of the season against Miami, Florida State went on to barely beat Jacksonville St., yet went to Provo and ended BYU's undefeated at home streak of 3 1/2 years -- not just ended -- but demolished them. Then, something happened, Florida State went on to lose 3 games in a row, included a close game to Georgia Tech and a too little too late attempt against Boston College, and getting embarressed by South Florida at home in a fluke-filled turnover fest.

With all this, the question remains: can FSU still recover their season and make the ACC title game? In short, yes. But this is what needs to happen.

 

FSU still has NC State, Wake Forest, Clemson, and Maryland left in ACC division play and if they win out, they'll sit at a 4-1 in the division and 4-3 in the ACC. This would also give FSU the edge over Clemson in a tie event.

But...

Will the 2 out of division conference losses play a role? Do the losses to Miami and GT ruin FSU's chances? Not really, they're in a different division and do not effect whether or not FSU finishes #1 in the Atlantic, even with 3 loses in the ACC en total.

So, if FSU wins out their ACC games, and BC loses one more, FSU will be in the ACC title game and has a good chance to avenge their loss to Georgia Tech or Miami. This would also put FSU in a BCS bowl, being the first team in many years to make a BCS game with more than 3 loses.