#20 Oklahoma 25 #3 Texas (-3.0) 24October 4, 2016
Neutral Site: Dallas
Oklahoma has lost 2 games already, but Texas has played a weak schedule and they were out-gained 4.8 yards per play to 5.7 yppl by Texas Tech, the only decent team they have faced.
The Longhorns also averaged just 4.8 yppl last week against Colorado's worse than average defense, which does not bode well for them against a very good Oklahoma defense. I don't expect the Sooners' Sam Bradford to play at the same level he played at last season (his line and receivers aren't as good), but he's a small upgrade over what backup Landry Jones was doing and, unlike counterpart Colt McCoy.
Bradford doesn't throw many interceptions (just 16 in 887 career passes). My math model picks this game even and I'll call for Oklahoma to get the win.
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