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Dr. Bob's Betting Advice For OHIO STATE (-13.5) @ PURDUE

COLUMBUS, OH - OCTOBER 10:  Quarterback Terrelle Pryor #2 of the Ohio State Buckeyes passes against the Wisconsin Badgers at Ohio Stadium on October 10, 2009 in Columbus, Ohio.  (Photo by Jamie Sabau/Getty Images)
Robert StollCorrespondent IOctober 16, 2009

#7 Ohio St. (-13.5) 27 PURDUE 17

Over/Under Total: 45.5
09:00 AM Pacific Time Saturday, Oct-17

Purdue can't seem to keep from beating themselves, as 3 more turnovers and a blocked field goal returned for a touchdown turned a close game into a 20-35 loss last week at Minnesota.

Purdue is now 1-5 despite out-gaining a tougher than average schedule of teams 6.1 yards per play to 5.1 yppl. The Boilermakers can compete with Ohio State from the line of scrimmage, as my math model projects 5.0 yppl for the Buckeyes and 4.8 yppl for Purdue, but turnovers and special teams greatly favor the Buckeyes.

Still, my math model gives Purdue a 54% chance of covering at +13 1/2 points.

Read more on my website www.drbobsports.com

I have 6 NCAA Best Bets and 6 NCAA Strong Opinions this week, and 1 NFL Best Bet and 1 NFL Strong Opinion!

Read an article about me in the Wall Street Journal

 

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