San Antonio Spurs vs. Oklahoma City Thunder: Odds, Analysis, NBA Betting Pick

OddsShark.comFeatured ColumnistMarch 9, 2017

San Antonio Spurs coach Gregg Popovich challenges an official during the second half of the team's NBA basketball game against the New Orleans Pelicans in New Orleans, Friday, March 3, 2017. The Spurs won 101-98. (AP Photo/Gerald Herbert)
Gerald Herbert/Associated Press

The San Antonio Spurs (50-13) will be playing back-to-back nights Thursday when they visit the Oklahoma City Thunder (35-29) as small road favorites at the sportsbooks.

The Spurs rested starters Kawhi Leonard and LaMarcus Aldridge on Wednesday and rallied back from a 28-point deficit to win 114-104 at home for their ninth consecutive victory overall.

 

Point spread: The Spurs opened as 3.5-point favorites; the total is at 211.5, according to sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark (line updates and matchup report)

NBA betting pick, via OddsShark computer: 109.8-104.8 Spurs (NBA picks on every game)

 

Why the Spurs can cover the spread

San Antonio is coming off the biggest comeback ever under head coach Gregg Popovich, and the fact that the team accomplished the feat without its top two scorers is remarkable. While the opponent was the Sacramento Kings, the Thunder have not been playing much better lately, losers of four in a row.

In fact, Oklahoma City lost Tuesday at home despite MVP candidate Russell Westbrook scoring a career-high 58 points. Even though it is not a slam dunk that Leonard and Aldridge will return here, their presence would make it difficult for the Thunder to end their skid in this spot.

 

Why the Thunder can cover the spread

With Popovich, you never know who will be on the court on any given night. Easily one of the best at his craft in NBA history, Pop knows the season is a marathon, not a sprint. He wants his best players at their best in the playoffs, so it would not be surprising to see Leonard and Aldridge rest again.

Even if they do play, Oklahoma City should be highly motivated to prove itself against a streaking team that is due to lose at any time now. Westbrook, in particular, will try to take advantage of a tired Spurs team.

 

Smart betting pick

The Thunder lost the first meeting this season 108-94 on the road as a 9.5-point underdog on January 31 to halt a three-game series winning streak dating back to the second round of last year's playoffs.

While Oklahoma City no longer has Kevin Durant around, the team's style of play has given San Antonio fits in the past. The Thunder are still 8-3 against the spread in the past 11 meetings, and they will get the win and cover on the Vegas odds to end their losing streak.

 

NBA betting trends

San Antonio is 0-5 ATS in its last five games.

Oklahoma City is 4-1 ATS in its last five games at home.

The total has gone under in five of San Antonio's last seven games on the road.

 

All NBA lines and betting trends courtesy of Bleacher Report’s official odds partner, OddsShark. All quotes gathered firsthand unless otherwise noted. Check out Twitter for injury and line-movement updates and the OddsShark YouTube page for picks and analysis, or download the free odds tracker app.