Dr. Bob Betting Advice For GEORGIA (+1.5) @ TENNESSEE

Robert StollCorrespondent IOctober 10, 2009

BATON ROUGE, LA - OCTOBER 25:  Mark Richt of Georgia patrols the sidelines during their football game against Louisiana State at Tiger Stadium on October 25, 2008 in Baton Rouge, Louisiana.  (Photo by Dave Martin/Getty Images)

Georgia 24 TENNESSEE (-1.5) 20

Over/Under Total: 46.5
09:20 AM Pacific Time Saturday, Oct-10

Georgia is a better all around team than Tennessee, who is only a great defensive team.

The Vols only allow 4.5 yards per play despite facing a schedule of teams that would average 5.9 yppl against an average defense, but Kiffin's team is just average offensively and has been poor on special teams.

Georgia is more balance, as the Bulldogs are good offensively (6.0 yppl against teams that would allow 4.9 yppl - although I rate them at +0.9 yppl), good defensively (5.2 yppl allowed to teams that would average 5.6 yppl) and very good on special teams.

My math model gives the Bulldogs a solid 54.3% chance of covering at +1 1/2 points and Georgia applies to a 51-11 ATS road underdog bounce-back situation.

Read more on my website www.drbobsports.com

I have 9 NCAA Best Bets and 2 NCAA Strong Opinions this week!

Read an article about me in the Wall Street Journal

 

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