Dr. Bob Betting Advice For ARMY (+10.5) Vs. VANDERBILT

Robert Stoll

Correspondent Written on October 10, 2009

BALTIMORE - DECEMBER 01: Army cadets cheer on the Army Black Knights as they play the Navy Midshipmen during the 108th Army v Navy football game on December 1, 2007 at M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore, Maryland. (Photo by Jim McIsaac/Getty Images)

(Photo by Jim McIsaac/Getty Images)

Vanderbilt (-10.5) 21 ARMY 14

Over/Under Total: 39.0

09:00 AM Pacific Time Saturday, Oct-10

Vanderbilt has a good defense, allowing just 4.3 yppl to teams that would average 4.9 yppl against an average team, but the Commodores haven't been good against the run (4.8 yards per rushing play allowed to teams that would average 4.6 yprp against an average team).

That weakness sets up well for an Army option attack that runs the ball almost 80% of the time and will likely do so even more in this game given how bad their pass attack is likely to be against Vandy.

My math model takes into account such match-ups and gives Army a 58% chance of covering the spread in this game.

Unfortunately, the Cadets also apply to a negative 17-58 ATS home underdog situation that will keep me from playing them.

Read more on my website www.drbobsports.com

I have 9 NCAA Best Bets and 2 NCAA Strong Opinions this week!

Read an article about me in the Wall Street Journal

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written on October 10, 2009 Preview/Prediction