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Who: No. 6 Wisconsin vs. No. 8 Penn State
When: Saturday, 8 p.m. ET (Fox)
The Line: Wisconsin (-2.5)
Penn State's turnaround is one of the biggest stories in 2016. A resurgent offense and lockdown run defense highlighted the torrid finish, but the former is of the utmost importance in Indianapolis.
Wisconsin constantly puts pressure on the quarterback, and the Nittany Lions' average offensive line—especially if Brendan Mahon is out again—might not be able to contain T.J. Watt, Vince Biegel and the rest of the Badgers' pass rush.
A shootout favors the Nittany Lions. However, Wisconsin's defense has surrendered more than 20 points once all season.
If Penn State gets a clutch defensive or special teams play, it could finish off an unexpected Big Ten championship. But the Badgers will ride a menacing front seven to a low-scoring victory.
The Pick: Wisconsin (-2.5)
Top 25 rankings reflect the Associated Press poll. All odds courtesy of Odds Shark. All historical spread info via TeamRankings.com. Stats from CFBstats.com or B/R research.
All recruiting information via Scout. Quotes obtained firsthand unless otherwise noted. Follow Bleacher Report CFB Writer David Kenyon on Twitter @Kenyon19_BR.