Dr. Bob Previews CINCINNATI (-29) @ MIAMI OH
#10 Cincinnati (-29.0) 45 MIAMI OHIO 13
Miami Ohio ha been out-scored by an average score of 11-42 in their first 4 games, but there is excitement for their home opener after freshman quarterback Zac Dysert's impressive debut last week at Kent. Dysert threw for 325 yards at a sub-par 5.8 yards per pass play (against a team that would allow 6.6 yppp at home to an average QB), but he ran for 119 yards on 14 running plays and the Redhawks averaged 6.1 yppl.
Unfortunately, they also turned the ball over 5 times and lost to a bad Kent team. Even if Dysert plays just as well as he did last week, which is a major upgrade over former starter Daniel Raudabaugh, the Redhawks will still have trouble scoring against a very good Cincy defense that's allowed just 4.3 yppl to teams that would combine to average 5.4 yppl against an average defensive team.
Cincy is also very good on offense and one of the best teams in the nation after 4 games (I rate them 6th based on this year's games only) and my math model favors the Bearcats by 32 points.
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