Dr. Bob Previews ARMY (-6) Vs. TULANE

Robert Stoll

Correspondent Written on October 02, 2009

SOUTH BEND, IN - NOVEMBER 18: Carson Williams #10 of the Army Black Knights moves back to hand off the ball during the game against the Notre Dame Fighting Irish at Notre Dame Stadium on November 18, 2006 in South Bend, Indiana. The Fighting Iris beat the Black Knights 41-9. (Photo by Dilip Vishwanat/Getty Images)

(Photo by Dilip Vishwanat/Getty Images)

ARMY (-6.0) 26 Tulane 20

Over/Under Total: 45.0

09:00 AM Pacific Time Saturday, Oct-03

Army's option offense should work pretty well against Tulane's soft run defense (234 run yards allowed per game at 5.6 yprp) and Tulane's Joe Kemp will have success throwing the ball against an Army defense that has allowed 5.9 yards per pass play to horrible passing teams that would combine to average only 4.3 yppp against an average defensive team.

My math model actually favors Tulane by 1 point in this game, but Army applies to a very good 262-141-6 ATS statistical match-up indicator and an 81-28 ATS statistical indicator. I'll have to pass this one.

Read more on my website www.drbobsports.com

I have 7 NCAA Best Bets and 4 NCAA Strong Opinions this week!

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written on October 02, 2009 Preview/Prediction