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Dr. Bob Previews JAGUARS (+3) Vs. TITANS

JACKSONVILLE, FL - SEPTEMBER 20:  David Garrard #9 of the Jacksonville Jaguars enters the stadium prior to the game against the Arizona Cardinals at Jacksonville Municipal Stadium on September 20, 2009 in Jacksonville, Florida.  (Photo by Sam Greenwood/Getty Images)
Robert StollCorrespondent IOctober 1, 2009
Tennessee (-3.0) 21 JACKSONVILLE 20
Over/Under Total: 41.5
10:00 AM Pacific Time Sunday, Oct-04

I had Tennessee rated at just 0.6 points better than an average team heading into this season so it's not such a huge surprise that the Titans are 0-3 after going 13-3 last season.

The Titans have actually played at a pretty good level, as they have out-gained the Jets, Texans and Steelers 5.6 yards per play to 5.1 yppl. Jacksonville, meanwhile, has been out-gained 5.6 yppl to 6.3 yppl by teams that would out-gain an average team by 0.7 yppl, so the Jaguars haven't played that bad either.

My ratings favor Tennessee by just 1 point and using this year's games only would result in a math prediction of Tennessee by 2 points.

With that being the case, I'll lean with the dog.

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