College Football's Quarterly Report: Top 25 Countdown
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(With the College Football season a quarter of the way done, it's time for Aaron Torres' Quarterly Report. To see the report in its entirety, including where he has the Alabama Crimson Tide ranked, please click here or visit him at www.aarontorres-sports.com.)
With four weeks of the college football season in the books, it’s time to see whose stock is up, whose is down, and who might want to start cleaning out their desks.
So fire up your printers and head on an extended cigarette break. It’s time for College Football’s Quarterly Report!
(Author’s note: I realize that most college football teams are actually through a third of their seasons. But let’s be honest, quarterly report sounds a lot cooler than “thirdly report” or “tri-report.” So unless someone can come up with something more clever, we’ll stick with quarterly report.)
25. Auburn
Mark my words, Gus Malzahn will be a head coach at a BCS school within two years. The scary part? He might be running the world within five.
24. South Florida
Enjoy your win over Florida State, Bulls fans. Because the leaves are starting to change, which means it’s time for one of my favorite fall traditions...that’s right folks, it’s time for South Florida’s midseason meltdown!
In 2007 they started the year 5-0 before finishing 8-5. Last year they were 6-0 before ending up 9-4. What do they have in store for us this year? An eight-game losing streak? A winless Big East season? Stay tuned to find out!
23a. Cal
23b. BYU
I couldn’t really distinguish between these two, since they’re basically the same team. Each entered the season a bit overrated, had some big wins early, caught the wrong team on the wrong night (BYU against Florida State, Cal vs. Oregon), and now has basically been left for dead.
But here’s what they really have in common: The loss that each team had was crippling, and they might never be able to recover.
For Cal, you’ve really got to feel for their fans, because honestly, if they’re not going to the Rose Bowl this year, when are they? USC is younger than the cast of Hannah Montana, Oregon State has looked awful so far, and Oregon was reeling coming into Saturday.
Now with the loss, Cal has the Trojans coming to town this weekend, and even if they win, they will still need a miracle to get to Pasadena.
As for BYU, if they could’ve just gotten past Florida State, their schedule played out where they likely would have run the table (Utah, TCU, and Air Force all at home). Now realistically it might be a trip to the Las Vegas Bowl for, what is this, about the 11th straight year?
22. Michigan
Seriously, who thought Michigan would be 4-0 at this point? Anyone? It really shows what 12 hours of practice a day can do for a team! Zing! I’m kidding, of course.
Here’s the thing though; do I think Michigan has enough talent to win the Big Ten? Yes. But if Saturday showed us anything, it’s that you don’t win championships when relying on so many young players. Championship teams don’t let Indiana stay in a game for four quarters like Saturday, especially at home.
Tate Forcier is still my favorite player in college football, Rich Rod one of my favorite coaches. But I’m still thinking they’re a year away.
21. Oregon
Remember that line from the movie Blow? You know, the one that spawned approximately 27 million Facebook status updates, AIM away messages, and yearbook quotes:
Sometimes you're flush, and sometimes you're bust, and when you’re up it’s never as good as it seems, and when you’re down you never think you’ll be up again. But life goes on.
That in a nutshell is basically where I stand on Oregon. They’re not nearly as bad as they looked against Boise State, but I still find it hard to believe they’re as good as they played against Cal.
I know Oregon fans are ready to kill me since I’ve been bashing the Ducks since before Labor Day, but can we seriously calm down a little? Wasn’t it just two weeks ago that Jeremiah Masoli only completed four passes...the entire game against Utah?
20. Kansas
So we’re four games into the season, and what do we really know about Kansas? (Besides that there aren’t enough girls in Lawrence to satisfy both the football and basketball teams.)
The Jayhawks are 4-0 and have a bye, a visit from Iowa State, and Colorado on the road in the next three weeks. In other words, we won’t know anything until Oklahoma comes to town Oct. 24.
19. Penn State
I said it in the preseason, but nobody wanted to listen: Penn State’s offensive line was going to cost them against good teams.
Did I think it was going to happen this early? No, but it was going to catch up with them eventually, which is exactly what happened Saturday night against Iowa.
In my eyes, 8-4 is a lot more realistic than 10-2 is. I’m sorry, but the truth hurts.
By the way, where do you think “Beating Iowa” is on Joe Paterno’s bucket list? Top three? Top five?
18. Ole Miss
All right, so Penn State was one of my preseason predictions that went right. Ole Miss? Not so much.
Yes, that was me that had the Rebels at No. 4 in August and spent half of my preseason preview gushing over them like a teenage girl fawning over her first boyfriend. Then I got a bunch of e-mails—mostly from Arkansas fans—reminding me that when the heat is on, Houston Nutt never comes through.
And you know what? So far they’ve been right.
While I’m not ready to write off Ole Miss just yet, it’s never a good sign when your quarterback spent most of Thursday night’s loss to South Carolina on the sidelines, mumbling to himself with no teammates in sight.
A question for Nutt: When Ole Miss started beating good teams last year (at Florida, at LSU, etc.), they did it by putting the ball in their playmakers' hands as often as possible. So why wasn’t Dexter McCluster in the mix offensively until the fourth quarter on Thursday?
I’m not ready to jump off the Ole Miss bandwagon just yet. But I’m getting close.
17. Nebraska
Just a week later, and Nebraska’s last second loss to Virginia Tech is already looking a lot better.
Can I just thank them for being a bettor’s absolute dream? Sure, they had that loss at Virginia Tech. But besides that game, they’ve outscored Florida Atlantic, Arkansas State, and Louisiana-Lafayette by a combined score of 142-12. The only safer bet in sports right now is Shaq looking like an idiot on Shaq Versus.
16a. Oklahoma State
16b. Houston
I know, I know, I know, Houston beat Oklahoma State already this season. I know. But after watching the Cougars on Saturday night against Texas Tech, I’m not so sure they could do it again.
The offense is explosive, but the defense, well, it still needs some work. Did you know that out of every team in college football, Houston is last in tackles for loss? That’s right, friends—dead last.
Of course, part of that is the teams they’ve played. But I just can’t see the defense holding up for another nine games this season, even if Houston will likely be favored in every single one.
As for Oklahoma State, I’m still not sure what to make of them. On one hand, they get Texas at home, and their cross-sectional games are at Iowa State and Missouri and Colorado at home, so it’s not unfeasible they win the Big XII South. On the other hand, they’ve already lost to Houston and were actually outgained in victory by Rice.
(Random side note: I think before we bet on Oklahoma State, by law we should get one shot of Boone Pickens in his luxury suite. More often than not he has one of those “If Mike Gundy loses this game he’ll be working an oil rig in Odessa by the morning” looks on his face. And these are things we, the gambling public, need to know. If gambling were legal.)
15. South Carolina
They’ve already beaten two ranked teams and were a blocked PAT from maybe pulling an upset at Georgia. Not to mention that after their win over Ole Miss Craig James said they’re a top 15 team. And if the last white running back to rush for 1,000 yards in an NFL season says you’re legit, well, who am I to question?
14. Miami
So coming into last weekend’s game, Virginia Tech’s players read about 45,000 “The U is back” articles, and said to themselves, “Wait a second—we came into the ACC the same year as Miami, and we’re the one that’s won three conference championships. Why isn’t anyone talking about us?”
It’s the oldest form of motivation, and the biggest reason why Virginia Tech won Saturday.
But here’s the good news for Miami and their fans: Relax. Virginia Tech was a lot better than people were giving them credit for. The playing conditions in Blacksburg were less than ideal. And besides Oklahoma this weekend, no one left on your schedule has the personnel to beat you.
So is an 11-1 finish out of the question? Nope.
Is 10-2 feasible? Sure.
Is there a possibility that within another month we could be reading 45,000 more “The U is back” feature stories? Absolutely.
13. TCU
I’ve got to be honest. I watched the Horned Frogs against Virginia a few weeks ago and wasn’t impressed. I watched them this past weekend against Clemson and wasn’t impressed. But credit needs to be given where it’s due, and TCU continues to go out and win games. There aren’t a lot of teams who can say that right now.
But here’s my question: What happened to Jimmy Young? This guy has put on a disappearing act so impressive it should be its own episode of Magic’s Biggest Secrets Revealed.
If TCU is going to beat Air Force, Utah, and BYU (which from what I’ve seen, I don’t think they will), they’re going to need Young to start playing more like he did last year (59 catches, 988 yards) than this year (six catches, 129 yards).
12. Georgia
Un-freakin-believable. That’s the only way I can describe Georgia.
The Bulldogs break every stereotype of what it takes to be a successful football team.
They turn the ball over too much (ranked 115th in the country in turnover margin, 113th in turnovers lost); they’re highly penalized (10.25 penalties per game, ranked 118th in the country); give up big plays on special teams (rank 107th nationally giving up 25.11 yards per kickoff); have a quarterback who has thrown five interceptions in four games; don’t rank in the top half of college football in total offense (74th) or total defense (67th); and they don’t have a pass rush (ranked 89th in college football).
And besides A.J. Green and Rennie Curran, is there a single player on this roster that you’d consider one of the top players at his position in the SEC?
After all that, you’d think the Bulldogs would be awful, terrible, at the bottom of the SEC barrel. Except that they’re 3-1! I can’t get over it.
I’ve watched Georgia four weeks in a row, against four good teams, and have absolutely no idea what to make of them. Are they that good? Are they lucky? Is the opposition just not as good as I think?
I really have no idea, but my brain is starting to hurt. Please excuse me while I get a cold beverage out of the fridge.
11. Cincinnati
The blueprint has been laid out to beat Cincinnati: Keep the chains moving, get first downs, bleed the clock. Oregon State did it two weeks ago, Fresno State a little better last week. But neither did it well enough to actually pull out the victory. At some point, someone will.
(To see the remainder of Aaron's "College Football Quarterly Report," please click here or visit him at www.aarontorres-sports.com.)
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