It seems fitting that the second-seeded Michigan State Spartans (28-5) will get an opportunity to avenge the only loss in their last 13 games when they take on the fourth-seeded Purdue Boilermakers (26-7) in Sunday’s Big Ten tournament championship game.
The Spartans are consensus four-point betting favorites at sportsbooks monitored by Odds Shark for their matchup with the Boilermakers, who edged them 82-81 but failed to cover the spread as 2.5-point home chalk on February 9.
Michigan State won four in a row before that loss at Purdue and is riding an eight-game winning streak into the rematch, going 12-1 against the spread in its last 13 games. The lone time the Spartans did not cover during that stretch came in a 64-61 victory as five-point favorites against the third-seeded Maryland Terrapins in the semifinals on Saturday.
Denzel Valentine led Michigan State with a team-high 18 points, 10 assists and seven rebounds to continue his charge for tournament MVP honors.
The Boilermakers had lost the previous seven meetings with the Spartans before earning that home win in the last game between them, going 1-6 ATS, according to the OddsShark College Basketball Database. They have gone 6-2 SU since then with a 5-2-1 mark ATS, winning their last five games heading into the Big Ten tournament title game.
Both of Purdue’s victories in the tournament so far have been blowouts, as the school crushed the 12th-seeded Illinois Fighting Illini 89-58 as 11.5-point favorites in the quarterfinals and then followed that up with a 76-59 rout of the eighth-seeded Michigan Wolverines as 6.5-point chalk in the semis.
The Wolverines knocked out the top-seeded Indiana Hoosiers 72-69 in the quarters on Friday.
Before the Big Ten tournament got underway, Michigan State was the +135 favorite (bet $100 to win $135) to win it for the third time in five years. The Spartans lost 80-69 in overtime to the top-seeded Wisconsin Badgers as the third seed in last year’s championship game after taking home the title with a 69-55 victory versus the top-seeded Michigan Wolverines the previous season.
The Boilermakers were listed at +500 to earn their second Big Ten tournament title. They previously came out on top in 2009.