WISCONSIN (-3.0) 28 Michigan St. 27
Both of these teams are playing well offensively, as the Spartans have averaged 6.5 yards per play, including 7.1 yppl last week against Notre Dame, while the Badgers have averaged 6.8 yppl - although against an easier schedule of defensive teams than Michigan State faced.
Both teams have allowed 5.1 yppl on defense, but Wisconsin has faced better offensive teams and have an edge on defense.
My ratings only favor Wisconsin by 2 points and Michigan State coach Mark D'Antonio is 6-1-1 ATS after consecutive losses so I expect that he'll have his team ready to play.
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