#23 MICHIGAN (-20.0) 36 Indiana 19
Michigan is certainly a better team than they were last season now that they have quarterbacks that were recruited to run Rich Rodriguez' spread offense. Tate Forcier is a star in the making and his running compliment Denard Robinson is averaging 52 rushing yards a game at 8.6 yards per rushing play. The Wolverines have averaged a healthy 6.5 yards per play, but they've also faced teams that would allow 5.9 yppl to an average team, so they may not be as good as they've looked so far.
Michigan should continue to play well offensively against a disappointing Indiana defense that has allowed 5.3 yppl to 3 teams that would combine to average just 4.8 yppl against an average defense. While Michigan should score a good number of points they may not be able to win by more than 20 points given their questionable defense.
Michigan has allowed 5.2 yppl to teams that would average just 5.0 yppl against an average stop unit and Indiana has some potential offensively with quarterback Ben Chappell averaging 7.2 yards per pass play.
Indiana is still worse than average offensively after compensating for opposing defenses faced but my math model projects the Hoosiers to 19 points in this game and favors the Wolverines by just 17 points.
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