Dr. Bob Previews ARKANSAS STATE (-2) Vs. TROY

Robert StollCorrespondent ISeptember 25, 2009

ARKANSAS ST. (-2.0) 27 Troy State 21

Over/Under Total: 50.5
01:30 PM Pacific Time Saturday, Sep-26

Troy has been the dominant team in the Sun Belt the last few years but Arkansas State may be the team to beat this season. The Red Wolves have the league's best running back in Reggie Arnold, a veteran quarterback in Corey Leonard, and the league's best defense.

Troy usually has the Sun Belt's best defense, but they've had to replace their entire secondary and I rate their stop unit just behind Arkansas State's. Troy's offense finally came to life last week against a bad UAB defense, but they struggled against a solid Bowling Green defense (just 4.7 yards per play) and I rate the Trojans' attack at 0.3 yppl worse than average.

These teams are actually pretty even overall thanks to Troy's advantage in special teams, but I'll lean with Arkansas State based on a negative 4-20 ATS subset of an 18-41 ATS game 4 angle that applies to Troy.

Read more on my website www.drbobsports.com

 

Read an article about me in the Wall Street Journal

 

Related

    SEC HCs Expect Big Changes for Aggies Under Jimbo

    College Football logo
    College Football

    SEC HCs Expect Big Changes for Aggies Under Jimbo

    247Sports
    via 247Sports

    Kentucky Safety Walker Arrested on Drug Charges

    College Football logo
    College Football

    Kentucky Safety Walker Arrested on Drug Charges

    SEC Country
    via SEC Country

    Manziel Will Serve as Backup QB for Hamilton

    College Football logo
    College Football

    Manziel Will Serve as Backup QB for Hamilton

    Mike Chiari
    via Bleacher Report

    Predicting CFB's Top 10 Defenses in 2018

    College Football logo
    College Football

    Predicting CFB's Top 10 Defenses in 2018

    David Kenyon
    via Bleacher Report