Matthew Stafford's Improvement as QB Is Key to Georgia's '08 Season

David Wunderlich by Senior Writer Written on May 28, 2008
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Stafford in First 6 Games of '07
 ActualExpected
Completions 101 118
Attempts 188 199
Comp. Pct 53.72% 59.30%
Yards 1190 1345
Yards/Game 198.33 224.13
Yards/Comp. 11.78 11.36
Yards/Att. 6.33 6.76
TDs 8 9
TD Pct 4.26% 4.52%
INT 4 7
INT Pct 2.13% 3.52%

For the first half, Stafford was average across the board. He was better at avoiding interceptions than would be expected, but he was a lot worse in accuracy. His completion percentage lagged the expected level of production by 5.58%. You'll also notice that his attempts were nearly even with the projected amount.

Stafford in Last 6 Games of '07
 ActualExpected
Completions 79 111
Attempts 140 196
Comp. Pct 56.43% 56.63%
Yards 1159 1253
Yards/Game 193.17 208.81
Yards/Comp. 14.67 11.36
Yards/Att. 8.28 6.39
TDs 9 8
TD Pct 6.43% 4.08%
INT 6 6
INT Pct 4.29% 3.06%

Georgia, as you would expect, ran the ball a lot more in the second half. Stafford's attempts dropped by 48 from the first half, and his total was way below the expected amount. His accuracy was better, basically even with the projected figure. His yardage and touchdown rates went up, but his interception rate more than doubled.

Stafford clearly benefited from the emergence of Moreno. As teams had to focus on the run game more, his production improved. His accuracy wasn't great, but it was better than it had been. He was at his best when he wasn't asked to carry the offense, but sophomores aren't generally asked to do so.

A natural comparison point for him is David Greene. Stafford is on track to start all four years (should he stay all four), and Greene did that for the Bulldogs earlier this decade. Through their first two years, Greene has a definite edge having put up better numbers in nearly every statistical category in his freshman year than Stafford did in his sophomore year. Greene's passing efficiency actually was lower his sophomore year, but his 137.3 mark was still better than Stafford's 128.9 mark a year ago.

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written on May 28, 2008 Stats

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