UCLA (-12.0) 24 Kansas St. 14
UCLA has been fantastic on defense so far this season, limiting San Diego State and Tennessee to just 3.7 yards per play while picking off 3 passes in each game. The Bruins will be without #2 CB Courtney Viney for this game (suspension), but that shouldn't keep them from another good outing against a sub-par Kansas State attack that has managed just 5.3 yppl against U Mass and UL Lafayette.
UCLA's offense has also struggled, averaging just 4.4 yppl and starting quarterback Kevin Prince, who has a broken jaw, will be replaced by last year's starter Kevin Craft. Craft really struggled last season, but Prince has been even worse so far this year (just 4.4 yards per pass play), so the quarterback change probably won't make UCLA's attack any worse.
Kansas State has actually been pretty good defensively in allowing just 4.1 yppl and limiting a pretty good UL Lafayette offense to just 4.6 yppl last week.
My ratings favor UCLA by 11 points with a total of just 39 points and I don't mind leaning with the dog given UCLA coach Rick Neuheisel's 9-27 ATS record as a favorite of 9 points or more.
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