NOTRE DAME (-10.0) 30 Michigan St. 24
Notre Dame has been incredible on offense this season, averaging 7.5 yards per play without getting sacked or intercepted and Michigan State allowed 6.7 yards per pass play last week in their loss to Central Michigan, so their pass defense could be a problem in this game.
The Spartans' offense is a little better than average, but Notre Dame is better defensively than they showed last week (or Michigan is very good offensively) and they should handle a Michigan State offense that isn't much better than average.
My ratings actually favor Notre Dame by 11 points, but I'll favor Michigan State on the basis of a 53-10-1 ATS statistical indicator that applies to the Spartans.
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