Robert StollCorrespondent ISeptember 17, 2009

CHAPEL HILL, NC - NOVEMBER 22:  Head coach Butch Davis of the North Carolina Tar Heels talks to his players during their game against the North Carolina State Wolfpack at Kenan Stadium on November 22, 2008 in Chapel Hill, North Carolina.  (Photo by Streeter Lecka/Getty Images)

#24 NORTH CAROLINA (-7.5) 26 East Carolina 17

09:00 AM Pacific Time Saturday, Sep-19

NORTH CAROLINA (-7 1/2) 26 East Carolina 17
East Carolina senior quarterback Patrick Pinkney has really been struggling this season, completing just 44% of his passes against Appalachian State and only 41% in a 20-35 loss at West Virginia last week. Pinkney completed 61% of his passes the previous two seasons, so I expect him to improve.

However, that may not happen this week against a very good North Carolina pass defense that's allowed just 2.8 yards per pass play in their first two games. UNC has also been struggling offensively, but that was expected after losing 2 wide receivers and a tight end to the NFL draft after last season.

The Tarheels have averaged just 5.0 yards per play and only 5.2 yppp against The Citadel and U Conn but they should move the ball at a decent rate in this game against a Pirates' defense that was exploited last week for 513 yards at 7.8 yppl by West Virginia.

My rating favor North Carolina by 10 1/2 points, but East Carolina is 19-5 ATS as an underdog of 3 points or more under coach Skip Holtz.

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