#5 PENN ST. (-29.5) 36 Temple 10
Penn State has had trouble covering huge lines this season because their offensive line is having trouble running the ball, which is something they'll try to do with a huge lead late in a game. The Lions have averaged just 3.9 yards per rushing play behind an offensive line that lost 2 All-American's and an All-Big 10 performer from last season.
Quarterback Daryll Clark is performing well with his new group of receivers and Temple is sub-par in pass defense, so the Lions ought to be able to score early to build a lead. They just probably won't be able to run up the score with a sub-par rushing attack.
Temple, meanwhile, out-gained a good Villanova team (they'd be about an average 1A team) 7.9 yards per play to 5.2 yppl in their 24-27 opening week loss, as quarterback Vaughn Charlton looked more than capable of taking the place of star quarterback Adam DiMichele, who was good enough to be invited to an NFL training camp. Charlton threw for 317 yards on 28 attempts (11.3 ypa) and appears good enough to lead a few drives against Penn State's stingy defense.
My ratings only favor Penn State by 26 points and it could be closer than that if Charlton really is a better than average quarterback.
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