DALLAS (-2.5) 26 NY Giants 21
I rated Dallas as a better team than the Giants heading into this season and last week's results did nothing to change that assessment. The Cowboys bombed away on the Buccaneers last week, racking up 344 passing yards at 12.3 yards per pass play while averaging 8.9 yards per play overall.
The Dallas defense didn't play well (6.2 yppl), but a lot of the yards Tampa Bay collected came after the game was decided. The Giants had a predictably tough time with a pretty good Washington team last week, out-gaining the Skins 6.0 yppl to 5.4 yppl en route to a 23-17 home win.
Both teams are better defensively than they showed last week and the Giants have a slightly edge in my ratings on defense. The Cowboys, however, are a better offensive team with Tony Romo having the advantage over Eli Manning and the running games both equally good.
My ratings favor Dallas by 5 points and the Cowboys apply to an 87-41-4 ATS statistical match-up indicator.
I'm not going to recommend betting this game, however, since the Giants are 19-4 ATS in their last 23 games away from home, including 18-2 ATS when not favored by 7 points or more. I will just lean with the Cowboys.
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