JACKSONVILLE (-3.0) 23 Arizona 20
Arizona's offense struggled last week against a good 49ers' defense but Kurt Warner and company should find the passing a bit easier against a vulnerable Jacksonville secondary that was horrible last season and then allowed Peyton Manning to pick them apart for 7.5 yards per pass play last week in a game that wasn't as competitive as the 12-14 final would indicate (Jacksonville was out-gained 4.1 yppl to 5.5 yppl).
Arizona's defense played well last week and the Cardinals are certainly a better team than Jacksonville.
In fact, my ratings make this game a pick. Unfortunately, the Jaguars apply to a solid 87-41-4 ATS statistical match-up indicator that will force me to pass on this game (although I'd lean with Arizona at +3 1/2).
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