TENNESSEE (-6.5) 20 Houston 17
Houston looked horrible last week against the Jets, as the Texans were out-gained 3.8 yppl to 6.6 yppl.
One thing is certain - that the Texans do have a good offense despite their poor showing last week. Quarterback Matt Schaub has completed 66% of his passes in 2-plus seasons in Houston for an average of 6.9 yards per pass play and he and WR Andre Johnson didn't suddenly forget how to play football just because of one bad week.
What is also certain is that the Texans once again have a bad defense that was picked apart by rookie quarterback Mark Sanchez last week. Tennessee performed well last week in averaging 5.1 yppl against an elite Steelers' defense, and the Titans should move the ball even better in this game.
Houston showed some holes in their pass defense last week that Schaub can take advantage of, so the Texans can certainly stay competitive in this game.
My ratings actually favor Tennessee by 6 1/2 points with a total of 43 1/2 points, but I'll lean with Houston and based on a 17-0 ATS game 2 angle and a 32-4-2 ATS general situation that both apply to Houston. I'll also lean Under on the basis of an 85-28-3 UNDER situation.
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