Fantasy Football: Overvalued Players
1. Terrell Owens
Owens missed three weeks of practice time with a sprained toe. T.O. is coming off one of his least productive seasons of his career, catching 69 balls for 1,052 yards and 10 scores. His numbers suffered because of team injuries, including one to quarterback Tony Romo. With Brad Johnson throwing to him in weeks seven through nine, Owens averaged just four catches for 33 yards. Because of Owens' history of drops, an unproven QB (Trent Edwards) and incliment weather games, he is a risky pick in the third round.
2. Clinton Portis
Last season Portis had a case to be named the first half fantasy MVP. However, from Weeks 10-17 he only had one rushing TD and one 100-yard ground game. Compared to seven TDs and five 100-yard ground games in the first half. Even though he is entering his prime (28 years old) he is fifth among active RBs in carries. Ladell Betts will be used more on third down and Marcus Mason could steal some goal line carries. He has not missed a game over the past seasons but he did miss eight in 2006. To go along with an aging offensive line, it would be safer to select a top-tier WR.
3. Braylon Edwards
I’m a little mixed on Edwards, as he is entering a contract year. He is a year removed from 80 catches, 1,289 yards and 16 TDs. He should have a bounce-back year, but I do not buy into the hype. His ADP is the fifth round, so he is not being over-drafted, but I prefer WR Eddie Royal who is going a few picks later. Some say Edwards is a sleeper, but he finished second in the NFL in drops last season. The targets will be there, but let another owner take this gamble.
4. Tony Romo
On average, Romo is the seventh QB taken in fantasy drafts. I would wait to take Donovan McNabb who is going a few picks later. Matt Schaub, Jay Cutler and Carson Palmer are going two-three rounds later as well. During the preseason, Romo only had one play over 25 yards. Without T.O., there will fewer big plays in the passing game. Felix Jones will be more utilized more in the running game, which will take away throwing attempts. Romo can be very streaky and I would not spend a fifth-round pick to select him.
5. Roy Williams
On paper, Williams should benefit from Owens' departure. However, he has had one good season in his six years in the league. Last season he only had 19 receptions for 198 yards and one touchdown for the Cowboys. His ADP is in the fourth round which is a little high for someone you might be drafting as your WR2. WR Vincent Jackson has more upside and should be selected over him.
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