2009-2010 NFL Picks & Predictions
We all Know the results of SB43, but come February 2010, who'll be holding the Lombardi Trophy?
Now my predictions below probably mean absolutely nothing to most, and chances are I will be miserably wrong, but part of the preseason fun (other than seeing Brett Favre in his new colors) is choosing who you think has a shot at the biggest game of the year. *For playof seeds, the tiebreaker if 2 teams had the same record was success last season*..........and now to begin
New England Patriots: 12-4; With Tom Brady back, the offense will pick up where it left off after the 07 19-1 mark. Moss is still a top receiver, and Welker may be the best possession receiver in all of football, not to mention that the Pats have 2 very good TE's in Ben Watson, and newly signed Chris Baker. The only thing that could keep the Pats from reaching 12 wins in my mind is if the defense really has a let down season, losing both Bruschi and Vrabel, critical parts of the dynasty they formed a few years back, but with Jerod Mayo coming along well, and Vince Wilfork in the middle of that line, they should be ok, despite trading half their secondary to the Eagles.
Miami Dolphins: 8-8; I can't see Chad leading another playoff charge with what the Dolphins have on the table, the defense will be inconsistent and Ted Ginn Jr. has yet to become the star Miami hoped he would when they used the 9th pick on him in 07.
New York Jets: 7-9; Being a Jet fan, this hurt me, but I can't reasonably say like Mike Greenberg that they'll be over .500, because facing the tough NFC South, Winning 1 game is about what they should get, not to mention a max of 3-3 in their division.
Buffalo Bills: 6-10; TO and Lee Evans is a good 1-2 punch, but I just don't think Edwards is the right guy at QB, and with Lynch suspended for the 1st 3 games, i think a rocky start will cause lockerroom troubles, leading to another losing season
Pittsburgh Steelers: 12-4; They can go 6-0 in division play, but the Steelers most lilely will not push the bar and reach 13+ wins. Although, I still love everything they have, and i'm ready for a breakout year for Santonio Holmes, and a resurgece by Willie Parker.
Baltimore Ravens: 10-6; I am a Joe Flacco basher, and this year as well as last, the Ravens should look to keep as much out of his hands as possible. With losing Rex Ryan, their D-Coordinator last season, and all-pro LB Bart Scott, not to mention a few others(Derrick Mason for about a week), the lockerroom may not be that similar to last year, but they should still make the playoffs as a wildcard.
Cincinnati Bengals: 5-11; I like they way they drafted, going defense and offensive line, but id say about all Cinncy fans know that this will be a losing season. With Palmer back, in what i believe will be a season to get him back on track, they won't be atrocious, but 5-11 is never much better than that.
Cleveland Browns: 3-13; I tried to find a 4th win here, but I couldn't, and they don't even have that tough of a schedule. Losing Kellen Winslow, in my mind who was their best target, will hurt whichever QB starts, not to mention the "Mangenuis" will most likely resume his poor clock management and play calling, a disaster zone for a D that was already 26th in the league.
Indianapolis Colts: 11-5; Caldwell will do fine taking the headset that Tony Dungy put down after last season's heart-breaking OT loss to the Chargers in the playoffs. Peyton being healthy from the start is a plus, and Reggie Wayne, Dallas Clark, and Anthony Gonzalez provide constant threats to any secondary. I'm looking for a big year from the Colt's defense too, hoping that Sanders and Freeney can play 16 games.
Tennessee Titans: 10-6; The 2nd wildcard spot goes to the Titans. They have a consistant O-line, and their RB duo did damage last year, and most likely will do it again barring injuries.
Houston Texans: 9-7; A team I really wanted to put in for the 1st time in their franchises history, but they are still a bit off. With the help of 2nd year HB Steve Slaton, possibly the steal of last year's draft, will combine with Andre Johnson and underrated TE Owen Daniels to give Matt Schuab constant targets, and their young defense should continue to improve throughout the year.
Jacksonville Jaguars: 5-11; Just can't see them rebounding after last year's huge disappointment. By far the worst team in this division, despite the addition of veteran WR Torry Holt, too little to save a team that can't sell out any home games.
San Diego Chargers: 11-5; If they didn't have to go through the gruesome NFC East, I would probably have them as my 1 seed, as Ladainian will surely have the drive and hunger as he tries to dispel all the talk that he might be done. Rivers is a top 5 QB, and having 2 very big targets in Gates and Vincent Jackson will definitely prove handy in the red zone.
Denver Broncos: 5-11; Everyone jump before this hell-hole travels into the regular season!!!! Boy things got worse and worse, all starting with Owner Pat Bowlen letting go of long time Head Coach Mike Shanahan. Now their best WR wants out, and I won't doubt that 15 others secretly do, as Belichick's mentoree Josh McDaniel's miswell walk back to Boston before the Denver fans put out posters for his arrest after this season ends with whooping double digit losses
Kansas City Chiefs: 5-11; Not sure if I like the Todd Haley hiring, and he has already reduced the offensive coordinator, who he kept on, to coffee runs during halftime breaks. Cassel and Bowe should prove to be a good match though, and they do have some good young players who can get some more experience.
Oakland Raiders: 3-13; If I was told 2 months ago that 1 head coach would beat up his assistant, and I got 1 guess at what team this would happen to, I would say the Raiders.....in under 3 seconds. With almost nothing positive in the land that Al Davis has behind bars with stupid decisions after stupider decisions -cough Darrius Heyward Bey cough-, I really hope that 2 great talents, Russell at QB and McFadden at HB, don't have their careers tossed in the garbage bin.
Philadelphia Eagles: 11-5; Adding Michael Vick and Jeremy Maclin to Desean Jackson, Brian Westbrook, and Kevin Kurtis.....all I can muster is WOW. Defenses will have nightmares about covering the Eagles Offense, led by perhaps the best leader in the entire sport, Donovan McNabb. The defense, without Bradley at MLB as well, should still be solid, and top 10 in most stats.
New York Giants: 10-6; They gain a wildcard spot, and for 1 reason only, the DEFENSE. Most overrated offense in the game, without Ward, and with Ahmad Bradshaw not being an every down player, Brandon Jacobs will be absolutely exhausted by the time week 14 rolls around, and Eli throwing to number 2 receivers at best, his stats nor the team's win total will equate to the number written on the check in his name, very bad move by Big Bue.
Dallas Cowboys: 9-7; Close but no cigar, although the Boys' are perhaps the team that I think can come back to bite me in the rear come playoff time. Roy Williams isn't elite, but he can catch the ball, as can Witten and Creighton. Felix Jones if he can stay healthy might be 1 of the most versatile players in the NFC. Defense has top 5 potential, but the schedule is a killer.
Washington Redskins: 7-9; Again, they are talented, but the schedule being in the best division in football, and having to play perhaps the 2nd best division in the NFC South, should leave a sour taste in the Skin's mouths come Winter. Zorn is on the hotseat, as is Campbell at QB, mark my words.
Minnesota Vikings: 11-5; Might be a win or 2 over, and I do think that Brett will be their downfall whether in December or January, they are a playoff team. Adrian Peterson can run effectively vs 9 man defensive fronts, the only guy who can do that in the NFL today. The Williams up front stop the run, although the secondary needs to be at least 16th in pass defense if they want to be an elite team.
Green Bay Packers: 9-7; The Packers also miss the playoffs by a game, but in my mind Aaron Rodgers will take off as an elite QB, and Ryan Grant will have a solid season, to round out an offense that has alot of scoring potential. The defense was the reason they went 6-10 last year, and now they have an easier schedule facing the NFC West, but I dont feel the 3-4 will heal all the wounds that were left behind from last year's awful play.
Chicago Bears: 8-8; Jay Cutler, don't get me wrong a good QB, but overrated, and not the savior the Bears need. Cutler had 18 interceptionss last year, 2nd highest only behind the Shoulder-less Brett Favre, and Cutler only has an average career QB rating, to go along with his terrific 17-20 record as a starter....sounds like some fans are gonna have a let down in 09. With only TE's Greg Olsen and Desmond Clark as legit threats to me, the running game led by Forte should take a step back as well, although the defense, despite some aging, should be good.
Detroit Lions: 2-14; After coming off the 1st donut in the W column during a 16 game regular season, 2 wins under new coach Jim Schwartz isn't all that bad. Although having talents like Calvin Johnson and Kevin Smith stuck in that mess certainly is upsetting. My advice, don't start Stafford, with an unsure and probably ineffective line to protect him, you don't want to kill your number 1 overall pick, maybe put him out there around week 8.
Atlanta Falcons: 11-5; I always knew Michael Turner had alot of talent when he was in SD, but he finally showed the world last year, expect another good year out of him, and more TD's rom Matt Ryan should definitely come with the likes of soon to be HOF tight end Tony Gonzalez. Secondary needs to step up if they want to reach the 11 win mark.
New Orleans Saints: 10-6; The other wildcard, I expect the repairs they made in the offseason to their defense should push them over the hump, and that offense, boy it is great. Last season for Reggie Bush before i stamp him as an official bust, the clock is ticking.............
Carolina Panthers: 8-8; The schedule is a bit of my reasoning here, but more, 2 words.....Jake Delhomme. After watching that 5 Interception outing in the playoffs last season, after they had so much success earning the bye in round 1, well, really watching that game made me want to vomit. It did confirm for me 1 thing though, as long as Delhomme is in Panther blue, they will not have back to back winning seasons, it isn't in his cards, whether Williams and Stewart continue their lethal run game or not.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 3-13; All 3 QB's, especially Byron Leftwich rub me the wrong way, they have 2 good backs in Derrick Ward and Earnest Graham, both of whom can score, but I dont think the passing game will set them up often to do that...score, which their defense, in a rebuilding mode, cannot stop teams from doing. The Buccs can play spoiler to possible Super Bowl teams, as in their team history, any team they have beaten during the regular season did not win the Super Bowl for that year(The Buccs play the Giants, Eagles, Saints, and Falcons, just sayin').
Arizona Cardinals: 10-6; This team continues to make me want to scream lucky in their face, and I do believe they lost to a Steeler team in Super Bowl 43 that wasn't playing well. Having a QB who can hit most targets, and a historically great WR combo always helps when your in a weak division, so i'd say 99% they win the West in 09.
San Francisco 49er's: 7-9; I love Mike Singletary, and in my mind he will be an absolutely pheonomenal Head coach down the road, but this year with Shaun Hill leading the charge, I don't see that much success, although i'm sure they will be in most games.
Seattle Seahawks: 6-10; With Jim Mora Jr. as the new head coach, and with a veteran QB in Matt Hasselback, they will step up from their 4-12 disaster of 2008. I don't get that warm a feeling from the Seahawks this year, so 6 is the most I can give them.
St. Louis Rams: 3-13; Steve Spagnuolo will have his youthful defense in many unqiue schemes, and Steven Jackson is a talented back, but i can't see the Rams be any better than this, i just get such a negative feeling from them, and Marc Bulger is not the man I would choose to lead my team.
1. Steelers 1. Eagles
2. Patriots 2. Falcons
3. Chargers 3. Vikings
4. Colts 4. Cardinals
5. Titans 5. Giants
6. Ravens 6. Saints
*AFC Championship*: Patriots over Steelers 21-17
*NFC Championship*: Eagles over Falcons 24-13
***Super Bowl 44 in Miami***: Patriots over Eagles 27-21
MVP: Phillip Rivers
Offensive Player: Adrian Peterson
Defensive Player: Justin Tuck
Offensive Rookie: Jeremy Maclin
Defensive Rookie: Aaron Curry
SB MVP: Tom Brady
So that's it, my picks for the upcoming NFL season, they are sure to be horribly wrong, but still, you gotta try.........so to all, enjoy Brett in purple, Brady's return, and the artist formerly known as Chad Johnson having some pencil pusher tweet his thoughts during games, i know I will
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