Fantasy Football ADP: Rising Quarterbacks

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Fantasy Football ADP: Rising Quarterbacks
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Now that there’s a couple of pre-season weeks done, it’s time to take a look at the top rising and falling quarterbacks in standard scoring drafts. For this we will be using the Average Draft Position (ADP) from standard ESPN live drafts from the last week.

Some players are boosted by their solidification of a starting spot, such as the San Francisco 49ers Shaun Hill (+7.9) while others are boosted just by signing with a team, like Brett Favre of the Minnesota Vikings (+5.7).

Thus, below are the top five ADP risers at the quarterback position from the dates of August 18-25.

 

1. Shaun Hill (San Francisco 49ers)

Never mind the fact that Hill didn’t play well in the second preseason week despite being the second quarterback to come in for the 49ers, Hill’s value has risen considerably (+7.9 ADP) since being named the starter in San Francisco.

It’s not too surprising, however, considering Hill was by far the best quarterback the 49ers had last season. Things to like about Hill from last season include his completion percentage (62.8), his average yards per attempt (7.1) and his touchdown to interception ratio (13/8).

Things not to like include Hill throwing eight interceptions in just nine games and that he took 23 sacks in those nine games. Hill makes for a decent backup in standard leagues, but that’s about it right now.

 

2. Brett Favre (Minnesota Vikings)

Similar to Hill, Favre did not enjoy a good performance in the second week of the preseason but saw his value skyrocket because he became the definite starter.

Favre completed just 1 of 4 passes in his first action but had only been with the team a few days and thus was still shaking off the rust as well as still learning the playbook.

Favre’s rising value (+5.7 ADP) is attributed to his past accomplishments, ignoring the fact that he threw nine interceptions and just two touchdowns in the final five games last year for the New York Jets.

Favre has a good team around him, but is nursing a bad throwing shoulder and will turn 40 this season. Drafting him to be your starter would be a very risky move.

 

3. Jay Cutler (Chicago Bears)

After a poor showing in the first week of the preseason, Cutler responded with a good one last week as he went 8-for-13 for 121 yards with a touchdown and no interceptions.

Displaying a new found level of comfort in the Bears offense saw Cutler’s value (+3.4 ADP) rise, though it was already pretty high for a quarterback in the first place.

Cutler has displayed all the attributes you want in a fantasy football quarterback but in Chicago he’s working with a sub-par receiving corps, and that’s a major concern.

Good quarterbacks make their receivers better, but guys like Devin Hester, Earl Bennett and Rashied Davis need to display they can step up and be consistent receiving threats for Cutler to maximize his value.

 

4. Philip Rivers (San Diego Chargers)

Already considered a top-five fantasy quarterback Rivers has seen his value (+1.8 ADP) rise slowly but steadily after the first two weeks of the preseason.

Rivers has displayed the same traits that made him such a good player last season as he’s completed 66.6 percent of his passes in the preseason and his 10 completions have gone for 142 yards.

One thing that causes a little concern is that Rivers has taken five sacks in the two games so far, and four of those came in the second week.

Hopefully, the San Diego offensive line can get it together, otherwise taking a lot of sacks could lead the Chargers’ offense sputtering at times throughout the season.

 

5. Matt Schaub (Houston Texans)

It’s a little surprising that Schaub’s +1.4 ADP hasn’t risen more in the last week considering how good he’s been in the first two weeks of the preseason. In the two games Schaub has completed 18 of 23 passes for 167 yards with one touchdown and no interceptions.

Schaub’s potential is great but he’s been injured during parts of the last two seasons so perhaps that’s why people continue to stay away despite his good performances.

One thing is for sure, when Schaub is on the field, he’s pretty good. And with receiver Andre Johnson and running back Steve Slaton to throw to, he’s got the weapons necessary to put up some great fantasy football numbers.

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