Where Will They End Up? A Look at The Numbers: NL Final Standings Projection

Bleacher ReportCorrespondent IMay 17, 2008

Most Major League Baseball teams are right around the 1st quarter mark of their season. Reaching this mark brings more speculation of where the teams will stand at the end of the season.

Late last night when I was running some numbers for another article to see where teams in the NL east will finish if they "stay on track" and afterward, thought it would be fun to take a look at all the numbers for every division.

Here's how it works: We take the current winning percentages of both home and road games and apply them both to the number of games that the team has remaining, both on the road and at home and then simply add those numbers with the team's current win total.

This is not a personal prediction, just a simple look at the numbers and how they project the end of the year standings. Many say "numbers don't lie", we'll put that to the test, but only time will tell.


What we'll see in the NL if all the teams stay on their current track...

  • Playoffs would be Houston vs. Arizona and Florida vs. Chicago
  • Last year's League Champion would have the worst record in the league.
  • Dodgers would finish 17 games back from the divison lead after so called improvements in the off-season.
  • Atlanta would miss the playoffs for the third straight season.
  • Johan Santana would not get the Mets back to the playoffs.
  • Padres would be no-where near the playoff race in August.

NL East

  1. Florida Marlins           91-71      --
  2. Philadelphia Phillies    90-72      1 GB
  3. Atlanta Braves           86-76      5 GB
  4. New York Mets           81-81      10 GB
  5. Washington Nationals 68-94      23 GB

NL Central

  1. Chicago Cubs            96-66      --
  2. Houston Astros         93-69      3 GB
  3. St. Louis Cardinals    87-75      9 GB
  4. Milwaukee Brewers    80-82      16 GB
  5. Pittsburgh Pirates      78-84     18 GB
  6. Cincinnati Reds         73-89      23 GB

NL West

  1. Arizona Diamondbacks   101-61      --
  2. Los Angeles Dodgers      84-78       17 GB
  3. San Francisco Giants      63-99       38 GB
  4. San Diego Padres          62-100      39 GB
  5. Colorado Rockies           58-104      43 GB

NL Wild Card

  1. Houston Astros         93-69      --
  2. Philadelphia Phillies   90-72      3 GB
  3. St. Louis Cardinals    87-75      6 GB
  4. Atlanta Braves          86-76      7 GB
  5. Los Angeles Dodgers  84-78      9 GB

This is the first part of a two part series, the American League will be projected tomorrow. (too much math for one day!)


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