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Bust: A player, usually drafted in the first five rounds, who is predicted to have a disappointing season.
Maurice Jones-Drew, RB, Jacksonville
Fantasy owners everywhere are drooling over the departure of Fred Taylor. MJD has the entire backfield to himself, and the hype just continues to rise. Unfortunately, it is getting too high. In his entire career, Maurice has never once had more than 197 carries. People argue that he is the “most durable back in the NFL.” How do you know that??? How can you say that when he averages 170 attempts per year? Not to mention that Jacksonville offense. Jones-Drew is the only playmaker on the offense, and that is NOT a good thing. Would you rather have a guy who is surrounded with help (Turner), or a guy who has to put it all on his 5’7” frame?
Frank Gore, RB, San Francisco
I think people are still high on that 2006 season when Gore gave his owners 2200 yards of total production and nine touchdowns. Ladies and gentlemen, that was three years ago, and Gore’s stats have progressively declined since then. Last year, Gore ran for 1000 and 6. Yet people are still considering him in the first round over RBs like LaDainian Tomlinson, Ryan Grant, Steven Jackson, Brandon Jacobs, and Chris Johnson. Yes, I know, San Francisco got rid of pass-happy Mike Martz and brought in a run-oriented Jimmy Raye. However, what most do not know is that Glen Coffee (rookie RB from Alabama) is going to get 40% of the carries.
Reggie Bush, RB, New Orleans
To be completely honest with you, it pains me to say this. I have always loved Reggie Bush. I am a huge fan of up-and-coming stars, and I really though Bush was just that. If Bush was healthy, he would not be on this list. I love having him in the lineup when doing well. What is the difference between 100 yards rushing and a player that gets you 50 yards rushing AND receiving? There is no difference. However, Bush is just too brittle. He has missed 10 games in the past two years and is coming off microfacture knee surgery. Unless you are in a PPR league, avoid him.
Joseph Addai, RB, Indianapolis
His couple years of stardom are over. He is no longer the feature back, and Donald Brown is definitely going to get a bulk of the carries in their new time-share system. In fact, I have high expectations for Brown this year and for the rest of his career. If the UConn product comes out and does well, Addai may be face a serious fallout in attempts. Plus, I am no fan of drafting players coming off an injury.
Jay Cutler, QB, Chicago
The savior is what he is known as in Chicago. Bears fans are just eating this up. The fact is, there’s no way in hell Cutler replicates his 2008 season. Chicago’s best wide receiver last year was Devin Hester, and he is all they have at the position this year. After him, you have the TEs (Olson and Clark). But that’s it. Check out the depth chart… There is absolutely nothing. He will have a decent season, but it will be a MAJOR disappointment considering what Chicago expects.
Thomas Jones, RB, New York
Jones had a fantastic year in 2008. You can’t really argue with 1300 and 13. I mean, those are Round 1 stats. But he will be hard-pressed to repeat that with Leon Washington and Shonn Greene emerging. Don’t even think for a minute that he will match his TD total from ’08. Nine was his previous career high, and now he’s splitting time with two other starting-caliber running backs. Not only that, but New York doesn’t have an experience proven QB. Rex Ryan says they will “ground and pound”, but what’s stopping defenses from loading up with eight in the box? Oh yeah, did I mention Thomas skipping OTAs? Don’t say I didn’t warn you.
My advice? Stay away from all on this list. Remember what I defined “bust” as. It’s a player who I predict will disappoint. Not suck. Disappoint. I’m not saying Jones-Drew won’t rush for 1100 and 9. But I AM saying that he will disappoint.
Until next time, take it easy.
- Jay -