The Race to the Chase: Who's In and Who's Out

By (Contributor) on August 15, 2009

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NEW YORK - DECEMBER 01:  The Nextel Cup trophy, at the NASCAR Nextel Cup Series Awards Ceremony at the Waldorf Astoria Hotel, on December 1, 2006 in New York City  (Photo by Rusty Jarrett/Getty Images for NASCAR)

The chase to the championship is just a few races away. It is clear that the top seven drivers in points have clinched a spot in the chase. However, drivers in positions eight through twelve are still jockeying for a spot in the chase.

Don't forget about the guys outside looking in. Drivers in positions thirteen through fifteen still have a shot to get in the chase. For a driver to get in the chase, another driver has to fall out of the chase. Let's take a look who has a shot to get into the chase, and who has no chance.

Kasey Kahne

BROOKLYN, MI - AUGUST 14:  Kasey Kahne driver of the #9 Budweiser Dodge sits in his car, during practice for the NASCAR Sprint Cup Series Michigan 400 at Michigan Internetional Speedway on August 14, 2009 in Brooklyn, Michigan.  (Photo by Jerry Markland/G

With four top fives and nine top tens, engine engine number nine has not quite made it to the finish line when it comes to the chase. Kahne is 127 points ahead of 13th place Kyle Busch. Kahne has just a few races to make it into the chase, and if he does as good in the next few races as he has in previous years, making it into the chase will be no sweat for Kasey Kahne.

Ryan Newman

WATKINS GLEN, NY - AUGUST 07:  Ryan Newman, driver of the #39 U.S. Army Chevrolet, stands in the garage during practice for the NASCAR Sprint Cup Series Heluva Good! Sour Cream Dips at Watkins Glen International on August 7, 2009 in Watkins Glen, New York

Ryan Newman has had an impressive year in his first season with Stewart Hass Racing. Ryan Newman is ninth in points, 100 points out of 13th position in points. Ryan Newman has not made much noise this season, but it's not too late for him to turn some heads by making it into the chase in his first season driving for Tony Stewart.

Greg Biffle

WATKINS GLEN, NY - AUGUST 08: Greg Biffle drives the #16 3M Ford during practice for the NASCAR Sprint Cup Series Heluva Good! Sour Cream Dips at Watkins Glen International on August 8, 2009 in Watkins Glen, New York.  (Photo by Chris Trotman/Getty Images

Greg Biffle has some work to do if he wants to get into the chase in 2009. He is tenth in points, only 91 points ahead of 13th in points. However, if he has a couple of more good points races as he did at Watkins Glen, he could make it into the chase, but if he has a bad race or two, his chances of making the chase could be over.

Mark Martin

BROOKLYN, MI - AUGUST 14:  Mark Martin, driver of the #5 Kellogg's/Carquest Chevrolet, drives during practice for the NASCAR Sprint Cup Series Michigan 400 at Michigan Internetional Speedway on August 14, 2009 in Brooklyn, Michigan.  (Photo by Harry How/G

In the many years that Mark Martin has been in NASCAR, he has finished second in the points battle numerous times, but no championships. He has slipped back in the points in recent weeks. He is currently 11th in points, with a cushion of only 89 points separating him and 13th place driver, Kyle Busch. Mark Martin needs to have some good runs in the last few races until the chase if he is going to stay in the top twelve in points.

Matt Kenseth

BROOKLYN, MI - AUGUST 14:  Matt Kenseth, driver of the #17 DeWalt Ford, drives during practice for the NASCAR Sprint Cup Series Michigan 400 at Michigan Internetional Speedway on August 14, 2009 in Brooklyn, Michigan.  (Photo by Harry How/Getty Images)

Matt Kenseth is currently twelfth in points, only 58 points ahead of the 13th place driver. Kenseth won the first two races of the season, and has four top fives, and eight top tens. Kenseth is nowhere close to clinching a spot in the chase. If the no. 17 team plans on making the chase, they need to really tighten up in the next four races.

Kyle Busch

WATKINS GLEN, NY - AUGUST 09: Kyle Busch, driver of the #18 M&Ms Toyota, stands next to his car on the grid prior to the NASCAR Sprint Cup Series Heluva Good! Sour Cream Dips at Watkins Glen International on August 9, 2009 in Watkins Glen, New York.  (Pho

What in the world has happened to Kyle Busch. There are only four races remaining until the chase starts, and Rowdy is 13th in points, 58 points behind 12th place Mark Martin. Kyle Busch has scored five top fives and seven top tens, but Kyle needs to score some good finishes in the last four races if he is going to be in the chase.

Brian Vickers

BROOKLYN, MI - AUGUST 14:  Brain Vickers driver of the #83, during qualifying for the NASCAR Sprint Cup Series Michigan 400 at Michigan Internetional Speedway on August 14, 2009 in Brooklyn, Michigan.  (Photo by Jerry Markland/Getty Images for NASCAR)

Brian Vickers has had a pretty good season in the no. 83 Red Bull Toyota. However, Vickers is 14th in the points standings, 96 points out of the all important 12th position. He can make up those 96 points with a good race or two, however he could lose 96 more points just as fast.

Clint Bowyer

BROOKLYN, MI - AUGUST 15:  Clint Bowyer, sits on the #33 Hamburger Helper/Cheerios Chevrolet in the garage prior to practice for the NASCAR Sprint Cup Series Michigan 400 at Michigan Internetional Speedway on August 15, 2009 in Brooklyn, Michigan.  (Photo

Clint Bowyer is 15th in the points standings, 99 points away from getting into the 12th position. Clint Bowyer has scored four top fives, and nine top tens. Surprisingly, Bowyer has not scored any wins this season. Bowyer desperately needs a win to help him get into the chase.

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