The outlook of the NFL draft is always changing.
Whether it's the Senior Bowl, the East-West Shrine Game, the scouting combine, pro days or just a random lunch meeting where an NFL general manager decides to change his mind, prospects are constantly moving up and down draft boards.
The same goes for pundits, who are consistently doing more research and altering their evaluations of players. Even with no more college football games to be played, players' draft stocks are going to continue to rise and fall drastically over the next few months.
That said, let's take a look at the most recent expert mock drafts, as well as some of those players who are already seeing the biggest changes in perceived value.
|Latest 2015 NFL Expert Mock Drafts|
|Pick||Dane Brugler, CBS Sports (Jan. 12)||Dan Kadar, SB Nation (Jan. 19)||Dan Hope, Bleacher Report (Jan. 18)||Mel Kiper Jr., ESPN (Jan. 15)|
|1. Tampa Bay Buccaneers||QB Jameis Winston, FSU||QB Jameis Winston, FSU||QB Marcus Mariota, Oregon||QB Jameis Winston, FSU|
|2. Tennessee Titans||DE Randy Gregory, Nebraska||QB Marcus Mariota, Oregon||DL Leonard Williams, USC||QB Marcus Mariota, Oregon|
|3. Jacksonville Jaguars||DL Leonard Williams, USC||DL Leonard Williams, USC||DE Dante Fowler, Florida||DL Leonard Williams, USC|
|4. Oakland Raiders||WR Amari Cooper, Alabama||WR Amari Cooper, Alabama||WR Amari Cooper, Alabama||WR Amari Cooper, Alabama|
|5. Washington Redskins||DE Dante Fowler, Florida||OT Brandon Scherff, Iowa||OT Brandon Scherff, Iowa||DE Randy Gregory, Nebraska|
|6. New York Jets||QB Marcus Mariota, Oregon||DE Randy Gregory, Nebraska||DE Vic Beasley, Clemson||DE Shane Ray, Missouri|
|7. Chicago Bears||DE Shane Ray, Missouri||DE Dante Fowler, Florida||DE Randy Gregory, Nebraska||SS Landon Collins, Alabama|
|8. Atlanta Falcons||DE Vic Beasley, Clemson||DE Shane Ray, Missouri||DE Shane Ray, Missouri||DE Dante Fowler, Florida|
|9. New York Giants||OT Andrus Peat, Stanford||OT La'el Collins, LSU||LB Shaq Thompson, Washington||OT Brandon Scherff, Iowa|
|10. St. Louis Rams||OT T.J. Clemmings, Pitt||OT Ereck Flowers, Miami||QB Jameis Winston, Florida St.||OT T.J. Clemmings, Pitt|
|11. Minnesota Vikings||WR DeVante Parker, Louisville||WR DeVante Parker, Louisville||OT La'el Collins, LSU||WR DeVante Parker, Louisville|
|12. Cleveland Browns||WR Kevin White, West Virginia||DE Vic Beasley, Clemson||WR DeVante Parker, Louisville||DT Danny Shelton, Washington|
|13. New Orleans Saints||OT Brandon Scherff, Iowa||CB Trae Waynes, Michigan St.||OLB Bud Dupree, Kentucky||DE Vic Beasley, Clemson|
|14. Miami Dolphins||OT La'el Collins, LSU||DT Eddie Goldman, FSU||SS Landon Collins, Alabama||LB Shaq Thompson, Washington|
|15. San Francisco 49ers||DT Danny Shelton, Washington||WR Kevin White, West Virginia||DT Malcom Brown, Texas||WR Kevin White, West Virginia|
|16. Houston Texans||CB Trae Waynes, Michigan St.||LB Eric Kendricks, UCLA||TE Maxx Williams, Minnesota||CB Trae Waynes, Michigan St.|
|17. San Diego Chargers||SS Landon Collins, Alabama||DT Danny Shelton, Washington||OT Ereck Flowers, Miami||DL Arik Armstead, Oregon|
|18. Kansas City Chiefs||LB Shaq Thompson, Washington||WR Jaelen Strong, Arizona St.||WR Kevin White, West Virginia||WR Dorial Green-Beckham, Oklahoma|
|19. Cleveland Browns (via Buffalo)||DT Malcom Brown, Texas||OT T.J. Clemmings, Pitt||DT Jordan Phillips, Oklahoma||OT Ereck Flowers, Miami|
|20. Philadelphia Eagles||CB Marcus Peters, Washington||CB Marcus Peters, Washington||QB Brett Hundley, UCLA||CB Marcus Peters, Washington|
|21. Cincinnati Bengals||DT Jordan Phillips, Oklahoma||OLB Bud Dupree, Kentucky||DT Danny Shelton, Washington||OLB Bud Dupree, Kentucky|
|22. Pittsburgh Steelers||OLB Bud Dupree, Kentucky||SS Landon Collins, Alabama||CB Trae Waynes, Michigan St.||CB Kevin Johnson, Wake Forest|
|23. Detroit Lions||DT Eddie Goldman, FSU||DT Malcom Brown, Texas||DT Michael Bennett, Ohio State||DT Malcom Brown, Texas|
|24. Arizona Cardinals||RB Melvin Gordon, Wisconsin||ILB Benardrick McKinney, Miss. State||OLB Hau'oli Kikaha, Washington||RB Melvin Gordon, Wisconsin|
|25. Carolina Panthers||OT Ereck Flowers, Miami||OT Andrus Peat, Stanford||OT Ty Sambrailo, Colorado St.||OT Andrus Peat, Stanford|
|26. Baltimore Ravens||DL Arik Armstead, Oregon||WR Dorial Green-Beckham, Oklahoma||WR Jaelen Strong, Arizona St.||WR Devin Funchess, Michigan|
|27. Dallas Cowboys||CB Quinten Rollins, Miami (OH)||DT Jordan Phillips, Oklahoma||RB Melvin Gordon, Wisconsin||DT Jordan Phillips, Oklahoma|
|28. Denver Broncos||TE Maxx Williams, Minnesota||LB Shaq Thompson, Washington||OT T.J. Clemmings, Pitt||ILB Benardrick McKinney, Miss. State|
|29. Indianapolis Colts||WR Jaelen Strong, Arizona St.||DL Arik Armstead, Oregon||FS Gerod Holliman, Louisville||WR Jaelen Strong, Arizona St.|
|30. Green Bay Packers||ILB Benardrick McKinney, Miss. State||OT Ty Sambrailo, Colorado St.||LB Denzel Perryman, Miami||DT Eddie Goldman, FSU|
|31. New England Patriots||WR Devin Funchess, Michigan||RB Melvin Gordon, Wisconsin||OG A.J. Cann, South Carolina||WR Sammie Coates, Auburn|
|32. Seattle Seahawks||WR Dorial Green-Beckham, Oklahoma||CB P.J. Williams, Florida St.||RB Todd Gurley, Georgia||WR Devin Smith, Ohio St.|
Note: Brugler has the Seahawks taking Dorial Green-Beckham at No. 31, and the Patriots taking Devin Funchess at No. 32.
Riser: Dante Fowler, DE, Florida
Even after recording three sacks against East Carolina in the Birmingham Bowl, Dante Fowler's collegiate numbers are slightly underwhelming for a potential first-round pick: 37 games, 14.5 sacks.
But while those numbers certainly don't jump off the page, don't let that fool you into thinking it was an unproductive career. Disruption is production, and Fowler was a nuisance who created constant pressure in the backfield.
The 6'3", 260-pound beast has a tantalizing blend of speed and strength off the edge, but he has also showed incredible versatility, making plays anywhere from the outside to over the nose. He once looked like an early-teens selection, but now he's suddenly in contention to be the first edge-rusher taken off the board.
Faller: Andrus Peat, OT, Stanford
Say you wanted to make a 3D print of the perfect left tackle, because, you know, that's totally a normal thing to do.
Odds are, the model would look a lot like Andrus Peat, who stands at a massive 6'7" and 316 pounds. Combine that with solid athleticism, quick feet, long arms and tremendous strength, and he has everything needed to dominate in both the pass and run game.
Cardinal head coach David Shaw offered up extraordinary praise, via NFL.com's Bryan Fischer:
I don't know if there's been anybody else in our conference, in the last eight years, that is as good as Andrus Peat has been and can be. In my entire career, nine years in the NFL, the only offensive lineman that was a step above of where Andrus can be is Jonathan Ogden—one of the best tackles to ever play. Besides that special, special player, he's the most talented I've ever been around.
While the ideal frame and high talent level are unmistakable, though, he has shown some inconsistency, playing too upright and getting beat on occasion. It seems that lack of steady, dependable play has worried some pundits, as Kadar and Kiper each have him slipping to No. 25, while Hope has him falling out of the first round completely.
With Ronnie Stanley pulling out of the draft and Cedric Ogbuehi tearing his ACL, it's hard to imagine Peat, one of the only prospects with upside as a franchise left tackle, slipping very far. But clearly, not everyone is convinced.
Riser: Arik Armstead, DL, Oregon
Potential can be a tricky thing. While Peat seems to be drawing doubts for not yet reaching his upside, Arik Armstead is skyrocketing draft boards because of the kind of player many believe he can still become.
There are few others in the draft quite like Armstead, who is basically a small tree at 6'8" and 275 pounds but also has the athleticism and mobility that helped him play basketball for a short time while at Oregon.
His package of size, length and power are tantalizing, but impressive physical traits don't always equal success in the NFL.
More importantly, he has shown a desire to improve, as Oregon defensive line coach Ron Aiken discussed, via GoDucks.com's Rob Moseley:
"Arik matured greatly on and off the field during the past two seasons. He was a huge contributor to our success. He made himself into a student of the game, watching film and finding tips that assisted us in ballgames. He’s always searching for an edge."
Armstead has climbed into the first round in three of the above mock drafts, while NFL.com's Daniel Jeremiah (not listed) slots him all the way up at No. 13.
Don't expect the hype to stop here. There's a good chance that after the combine, when the 275-pound giant potentially runs a sub-5.00 40-yard dash and shows off a basketball vertical, his stock will only continue to ascend.
Faller: P.J. Williams, CB, Florida State
P.J. Williams, who won Defensive MVP at the 2014 national championship, was pretty commonly mocked among the first 32 picks throughout the regular season, but he's really starting to slip. Only Kadar has him going on the first day, and that's at No. 32 to the Seattle Seahawks.
There's no real obvious reason for the sudden decline. Williams was a bit inconsistent this season, but he usually played well for the Seminoles. He is a big, physical corner with the speed to make plays down the field and the versatility to play on the outside or in the slot.
Jeremiah put it simply:
This is a fairly deep cornerback class, with Trae Waynes and Marcus Peters sitting atop most draft boards. However, with the league becoming increasingly focused on the passing game, and several teams in the late teens and early 20s needing secondary help, it's difficult to bet on Williams falling out of the first round.