Don't Buy It: Oklahoma's Bubble to Burst Sooner Rather than Later

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Don't Buy It: Oklahoma's Bubble to Burst Sooner Rather than Later

IconIn the same way that AOL's stock price was pumped up by wild-eyed traders in 2000, Oklahoma's No. 4 ranking is the result of irrational exuberance.

The voting members of the national college football media know a good bandwagon when they see one—and they're hopping right on, regardless of the facts.

Here's the combined record thus far of Oklahoma's three opponents (North Texas, Miami, Utah State): 2-6.

And the combined record of Oklahoma's remaining eight opponents (Tulsa, Colorado, Texas, Missouri, Iowa State, Baylor, Texas Tech, Oklahoma State): 16-7.

For the remainder of the season, the Sooners face only two currently ranked teams: at No. 7 Texas (the shakiest No. 7 team I've ever seen), and possibly-solid No. 25 Missouri at home.
 
The numbers tell us three things:
 
A) That Oklahoma's three gaudy wins tell us absolutely nothing about this team, except that they can score points in bunches against inferior opponents.
 
WVU's first win told us the same thing. But the following two wins told us that WVU can crank out dominating wins on the road against better competition—and get punished for it, by dropping two spots in the polls.
 
B) That the Sooners won't get their first test until Oct. 6th in Dallas. The Mountaineers get their first test Sept. 28th at No. 23 South Florida.
 
C) That the Big 12 is one of the weakest BCS conferences, and the Sooners' romp through it should be judged accordingly.
 
I would rank the BCS conferences like this: SEC, Pac-10, Big East, Big 12, ACC, Big 10.
 
Unlike Oklahoma, WVU has three remaining opponents in the Top 25: No. 11 Rutgers, No. 18 Louisville, and No. 23 South Florida. Further, 3-0 Cincinnati may be 5-0 going into its Oct. 6th game at Rutgers, a team it beat last year.
 
Look for the Bearcats to become WVU's fourth ranked opponent this year.
 
If I had a vote in the polls, and exercised it, I might have vaulted Florida over WVU. But not Oklahoma.
 
Right now, the Sooners are nothing more than a Big 12 bully—a Mike Tyson hammering a bunch of tomato cans into oblivion. 
 
It's a bread-and-circuses spectacle for the national college football media, who are buying the fraud wholeheartedly.
 
In the end, it all boils down to this question: Do I think WVU would beat Oklahoma at a neutral site?
 
Yes, I do.  And the facts back me up.
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