Improved UCLA Bruins Hope For Seven to Eight Wins in 2009

Matt Garcia by Contributor Written on July 27, 2009

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PASADENA, CA - NOVEMBER 08:  Head coach Rick Neuheisel talks with Chris Forcier #8 of the UCLA Bruins during the game against the Oregon State Beavers at the Pasadena Rose Bowl on November 8, 2008 in Pasadena, California.  (Photo by Lisa Blumenfeld/Getty
Lisa Blumenfeld/Getty Images

Rick Neuheisel's return to UCLA got off to a great start with an opening win against Tennessee, but things quickly fell apart and the Bruins had their worst season in recent history, finishing 4-8.

The Bruins offense was decimated by injury, losing their top two quarterbacks before the season started.

Third string quarterback Kevin Craft completed 20 passes to the other team, while the running game averaged only 2.6 yeards per carry behind a patchwork offensive line.

Overall, the UCLA offense was offensive, their worst in more than thirty years, scoring less than 17 points per game. They consistently left the defense on the field too long. The Bruin defense gave up 29 points per game.

Bruin fans are excited as the 2009 season nears. Although the Bruins have question marks on both sides of the ball (quarterback, offensive and defensive lines), the Bruins have the talent to win seven to eight games this season.

UCLA has a schedule that is definitely in their favor, and Neuheisel put together an impressive recruiting class as he continues to rebuild the roster.

I have examined the Bruins schedule and placed each game into one of the following four categories (keep in mind that this is July and fall camp has not started, so with injuries this can definitely change):

1. Must Win: UCLA will be favored in each of these games, and must win each to reach 7-8 games.

2. Should Win: These games are tougher than those in the Must Win category, but the Bruins need to walk away from these games with a victory to become bowl eligible.

3. Can Win: The Bruins will probably the underdog in these games, and will need to win at least one to reach a bowl, and two to hit the seven/eight win plateau.

4. Hope to Win: The Bruins will definitely be underdogs, probably by double digits. One win in this group would be unexpected, but would show that the Bruins have improved tremendously.

September 5 vs. San Diego State

SAN DIEGO - SEPTEMBER 3:  Running back Lynell Hampton #22 of the San Diego State Aztecs is brought down after being stripped of his helmet by defenders Brigham Harwell  #93, Jarrad Page #4, and Spencer Havner #41 the UCLA Bruins on September 3, 2005 at Qu

New coach Brady Hoke has assembled a staff with connections to UCLA (new offensive Al Borges and new defensive coordinator Rocky Long held those same positions at one time at UCLA) and brings his Aztecs into the Rose Bowl for the Bruins' opening game.

The Aztecs are in complete rebuilding mode after finishing 2008 with two wins. Last year the Aztecs allowed 35 points or more a whopping eight times, and have a long way to go before they are competitive.

Verdict: Must Win

September 12 at Tennessee

3 SEP 1994:  UCLA RUNNING BACK SHARMON SHAH CARRIES THE FOOTBALL DURING THE BRUINS 25-23 VICTORY OVER THE TENNESSEE VOLUNTEERS AT THE ROSE BOWL IN PASADENA, CALIFORNIA.  Mandatory Credit: Stephen Dunn/ALLSPORT

Rookie head coach Lane Kiffin brings a new brash attitude to Knoxville, and the Volunteers should be much improved from last season.

Tennessee seeks revenge for an embarrassing opening loss last year at the Rose Bowl, a game that they had no business losing after dominating the first half.

The Vols feature a tough D led by Kiffin's father Monte, but can be beat despite a challenging home field advantage. The Bruins will have to be perfect to leave with a W.

Verdict: Could Win

September 19 vs. Kansas State

LAWRENCE, KS - NOVEMBER 18:  Quarterback Josh Freeman #1 of the Kansas State Wildcats throws against the Kansas Jayhawks at Memorial Stadium November 18, 2006 in Lawrence, Kansas. The Kansas Jayhawks won 39-20.  (Photo by Brian Bahr/Getty Images)

The Bruins two game series with Kansas State begins this year with a matchup at the Rose Bowl.

New coach Bill Snyder reportedly tried to pull out of this game early in the year, attempting to return Kansas State to their glory years when they packed their non-conference schedule with less than stellar opponents.

Kansas State finished last season with five wins, but three of those came against North Texas, Montana State, and Louisiana-Lafayette. The pourous Wildcat defense gave up 430 points last season, and star QB Josh Freeman left for the NFL.

The Bruins should not sleep on this one as they look ahead to the start of their Pac-10 schedule.

Verdict: Must Win

October 3 at Stanford

PALO ALTO, CA - OCTOBER 29:  Joe Cowan #26 of the UCLA Bruins makes a catch for a touchdown in the fourth quarter as Nick Sanchez #2 tries to block the pass on October 29, 2005 at Stanford Stadium in Palo Alto, California. The Bruins went on to defeat the

The Bruins should be well rested after a bye week, while the Cardinal should be equally rested after playing Washington.

Close games are the norm when the Bruins and Cardinal meet, and Stanford head coach Jim Harbaugh has completely rebuilt the program. These two teams will be in close competition to finish in the top half of the Pac-10 standings.

Verdict: Should Win

October 10 vs. Oregon

EUGENE, OR - OCTOBER 14:  UCLA Bruins' Quarterback Patrick Cowan #12 throws against the Oregon Ducks at Autzen Stadium October 14, 2006 in Eugene, Oregon.  (Photo by Jonathan Ferrey/Getty Images)

The Ducks are capable of challenging for the Pac-10 crown, and figure to be highly ranked heading into this matchup at the Rose Bowl. If the Ducks get by Boise State in the first week, they should be 5-0.

Oregon has tremendous talent in the offensive backfield with quarterback Jeremiah Masoli and running back LeGarrette Blount, and averaged over 40 points a game last year.

This will be the first chance for the Bruins to pull off a major upset and would be the biggest win of the Neuheisel era.

Verdict: Hope to win

October 17 vs. California

PASADENA, CA - OCTOBER 8:   Craig Stevens #82 of the University of California Golden Bears drops the ball during the second half against the UCLA Bruins on October 8, 2005 at the Rose Bowl in Pasadena, California.  The Bruins won 47-40.  (Photo by Lisa Bl

The Bruins second straight game against a Pac-10 contender is also a home game. The Bruins have to hope that the Bears are worn down, as they will come into the Rose Bowl after games against Oregon and USC.

Cal returns a defense that was ranked 26th in the nation last year, and have one of the best running backs in the nation in Jahvid Best, who averaged 8.1 yards per carry last year.

Verdict: Hope to win

October 24 at Arizona

10 Oct 1998:  Quarterback Cade McNown #18 of the UCLA Bruins in action during the game against the Arizona Wildcats at the Arizona Stadium in Tucson, Arizona. The Bruins defeated the Wildcats 52-28. Mandatory Credit: Tom Hauck  /Allsport

In another matchup of seemingly equal teams, the Wildcats and Bruins will battle for a spot in the upper half of the Pac-10 standings, and quite possibly one of the Pac-10 bowl bids.

Arizona's surprising offense ranked 16th in the country in 2008, however the Wildcats will be breaking in a new starting QB.

The Bruins need to look out for TE Rob Gronkowski, who caught 47 balls last year. Arizona has beaten UCLA three out of the last four times they played.

Verdict: Should Win

October 31 at Oregon State

PASADENA, CA - NOVEMBER 08:   Michael Norris #22 misses an interception against Sammie Stroughter #19 of the Oregon State Beavers at the Pasadena Rose Bowl on November 8, 2008 in Pasadena, California.  (Photo by Lisa Blumenfeld/Getty Images)

Mike Riley has built a solid program at Oregon State, and the Beavers have been to five bowl games in the last six years. Beaver running back Jacquizz Rogers is arguably the best in the Pac-10, and he and six other starters return to an offense that averaged 30.5 points per game. The UCLA game is sandwiched on the Oregon State schedule between their games against USC and Cal, so the Beavers should be on upset alert.

Verdict: Could Win

November 7 vs. Washington

SEATTLE - SEPTEMBER 23:  Running back Chris Markey #28 of the UCLA Bruins rushes against Brandon Ala #41 and Roy Lewis #28 of the Washington Huskies on September 23, 2006 at Husky Stadium in Seattle Washington. The Huskies defeated the Bruins 29-19.  (Pho

Washington will not go without a win this year (they play Idaho), but they are going through another period of rebuilding with another coach, Steve Sarkisian.

Jake Locker is a great athlete and will keep the Huskies in some games by himself, but this one-time Pac-10 powerhouse is a shadow of it's former self. The Huskies averaged only 13.3 points per game (117th in the nation) last year and gave up 38.6 points per game (116th in the nation).

The Huskies will be much improved, but the Bruins simply cannot give this one away.

Verdict: Must Win

November 14 at Washington State

PULLMAN, WA - NOVEMBER 8:  Wide Receiver Ryan Smith #25 of the U.C.L.A. Bruins and Karl Paymah #15 of the Washington State University Cougars on an overthrown  pass on November 8, 2003 at Martin Stadium in Pullman, Washington. (Photo by Otto Greule Jr/Get

The Bruins never have an easy game in the Palouse, but should be able to beat the Cougars, who may finish last in the Pac-10.

Washington State finished 2-11 last year, with wins against Portland State and winless Washington, and their eleven losses came by an average margin of 40 points. The Bruins cannot afford to lose this game.

Verdict: Must Win

November 21 vs. Arizona State

1 Dec 2001:  Akil Harris #27 of the UCLA Bruins runs away from Mason Unck #52 of the Arizona State Sun Devils during the Pac-10 Conference football game at the Rose Bowl in Pasadena, California.  The Bruins defeated the Sun Devils 52-42.Mandatory Credit:

The Bruins have beaten the Sun Devils in three of their last four matchups and look to make up for a complete meltdown at Sun Devil Stadium last year. The Sun Devils scored four defensive touchdowns in last year's game, matching an NCAA record.

The Sun Devils have some uncertainty at the quarterback position after the departure of Rudy Carpenter, but have a talented defense.

ASU will come into the Rose Bowl after consecutive games against Cal, USC, and Oregon, a stretch that will make or break their season.

Verdict: Could Win

November 28 at USC

LOS ANGELES, CA - DECEMBER 01:  Jody Adewale #35 of the USC Trojans is tackled by Tom Blake #56 and Chris Horton #14 of the UCLA Bruins during the college football game at the Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum on December 1, 2007 in Los Angeles, California.

The Trojans are king of the conference and have been for awhile. No reason to believe that they will not be Pac-10 Champions again.

Verdict: Hope To Win

2009 Prediction

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Barring injuries, UCLA should return to a bowl game after winning seven games. Eight wins would be a pleasant surprise and build momentum towards another solid recruiting class.

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written on July 27, 2009 Preview/Prediction

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