Fantasy Baseball Second-Half Buys and Sells
The second half of the 2009 baseball season is under way and after an exciting first half there is plenty to be excited for in the final three months of the 2009 season.
We saw guys like Ben Zobrist and Jason Bartlett come out of nowhere to produce some huge stats. These guys could be the waiver-wire pickups of the year, but will they keep it up?
It is tough to make predictions on who will produce and who will struggle, but if you look at some of the stats from the past and current stats then it makes things much easier to decide who to buy and who to sell.
For example, in the past we have seen guys like Dan Haren struggle after a great first half and we have seen guys like Johan Santana turn it on in the second half. Players that don't have a great track record of putting up all-star numbers may not keep it up and guys that typically put up all-star numbers may turn it on in the final three months.
Here is a list of players to buy and sell in order to make a push for the playoffs and simply add to your team if you have a comfortable lead.
Buy: Pablo Sandoval, C/1B/3B, Giants
The "Kung-Fu Panda" is having an excellent season and since he is eligible at catcher I would do anything I could to grab him.
His hitting style and power make a great combination for a player eligible at a weak position.
On top of that he can play first and third base.
The Giants lineup is improving and Sandoval can only improve on his first half numbers.
Go grab him in a trade if somebody thinks it's a fluke.
Sell: Russell Martin, C, Dodgers
Lets face it the Russell Martin of 2007 is never coming back. His power is gone and now he can't even keep a good average.
He isn't even close to the player he once was and Joe Torre could sit him more in the second half in order to rest him and keep him fresh for the stretch run and playoffs.
See if you can get anything for him and then pick up a guy like Chris Iannetta to replace him.
Buy: Joey Votto, 1B, Reds
Votto missed quite a bit of time in the first half, but he is ready to explode in the second half.
The Reds have a decent lineup and Votto is on his way to another big season after his breakout last year.
He has great power, hits in a hitters' park and has a great minor league track record to support his case.
Buy him if you still can.
Sell: Todd Helton, 1B, Rockies
Todd Helton is having a spectacular season and most people thought his career was dead and buried, but the thing that keeps him from being a reliable player is his lack of power and age (35).
He only has ten homers at a powerful position. I doubt he keeps up his current .319 average so see if anybody wants to take him off your hands.
Buy: Jose Lopez, 2B/3B, Mariners
Lopez was off to brutal start when he started the season hitting .253 in April and .214 in May, but he has started to turn it around.
He hit .329 in June and had five homers and twenty RBI. Lopez had legit power for a weak position and he has to improve.
He is on pace for 24 homers and 102 RBI.
Sell: Aaron Hill, 2B, Blue Jays
Hill is having a career season and it' only half a season, but because he has so much value now he should be shopped around.
See if somebody would give you an Ian Kinsler, Brandon Phillips or Dustin Pedroia for him or a package of players for him, because Hill is due for a let down after an incredible start.
Buy: Edwin Encarnacion, 3B, Reds
Edwin has recently returned from the DL and he has turned the corner after a horrid start to the season.
He has hit safely in seven straight games and hits in a decent lineup and a hitters' park.
He has to rebound in the second half and is probably available on the waiver-wire in almost any league.
Sell: Russell Branyan, 1B/3B, Mariners
This one is an easy call since Branyan is as streaky of a hitter as they come.
His fast start tells us that a let down is coming and he stills strikes out a lot. His batting average is June is a lowly .156 and things are not looking up for him.
Now is the time to see what you can get for him.
Buy: Alexei Ramirez, 2B/SS/OF, White Sox
Ramirez was a popular break out candidate entering the season and then he struggled badly in April, but has turned it around since and is a great target for trades.
I was able to trade Matt Garza straight up for him about a month ago and I am guessing he is still available this cheaply. He is due for a huge second half just like he did last year.
His position eligibility is a huge plus and he is extremely valuable right now.
Sell: Jason Bartlett, SS, Rays
Bartlett had a huge first half, but his track record tells us that he is not going to keep it up. Since he has returned from the DL, he has not been the same player and has lost his power. He is hitting .219 in July and is due for a big let down in the second half.
Buy: B.J. Upton, OF, Rays
Upton was off to an awful start but has turned it on lately. In June he hit .324 5 hrs 22 RBI 20 rs 14 sbs.
He has cooled off in July but now is a great time to make a trade for him.
He now has 31 sbs and has brought his average up to .239 after being in the .200 range most of the year.
Sell: Adam Jones, OF, Orioles
Jones got off to a great start to the season, but then crashed into a wall in the outfield and hasn't been the same player since.
He hit .229 in June and hasn't shown much power lately. He is batting .298 in July, but see what you can do to deal him now while his value is still high.
Buy: John Danks, SP, White Sox
Danks got off to a great start and then had a brutal May with a 6.32 ERA.
Since then he has been on the rise.
He has a 2.91 ERA in June with 30 ks and 10 bbs and in July he has a 2.77 ERA with 9 ks and 5 bbs.
With the White Sox starting to play better and in the playoff hunt, Danks is certainly a player to target on the trade market.
Sell: Zach Duke, SP, Pirates
Duke got off to a fast start in April and May, but he has been inconsistent since and is a player to sell right now.
Since the Pirates are not a good offensive or defensive team, Duke won't get many wins and will see his ERA rise.
Since his solid rookie year, Duke has been labeled as a bust and for good reason.
Duke may show flashes of brilliance at times, but see what you can get for him now.
Buy: Rafael Soriano, CP, Braves
Soriano has a firm grip on the closer's role right now with Mike Gonzalez injured and was struggling before his injury.
He looks like a great candidate to be a top closer down the stretch if he stays healthy.
His price tag can't be very high right now since he only has 12 saves and has a track record of injuries.
I'd make a move for him now before he takes off as the closer.
Sell: George Sherrill, CP, Orioles
Sherrill is a candidate to be traded at the July 31st trade deadline, because the Orioles have no long-term plans for him.
He has decent value right now with 20 saves and you might be able to deal him for a Juan Rivera type player.
Get anything you can for him before he is traded and setting up for a contender.