NFL Picks Week 1: Examining Recent Odds and Expert Predictions

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NFL Picks Week 1: Examining Recent Odds and Expert Predictions
Paul Sancya/Associated Press

The wait is finally over. Week 1 of the 2014 NFL regular season is upon us, and it’s time to break down the picks for every game on the schedule, the latest odds and expert predictions.

With the Seattle Seahawks starting their quest to repeat as Super Bowl champions Thursday night against the vaunted Green Bay Packers, there is no better way to begin the football season than with a battle of this magnitude.

Here are the predicted winners in each Week 1 game and a breakdown of the experts’ predictions.

NFL Week 1 Schedule, Odds and Predictions
Away Home Time (ET) Prediction
Green Bay Seattle (-5.5) 8:30 p.m. (Thur.) 30-27 SEA
New Orleans (-2.5) Atlanta 1 p.m. 31-21 NO
Cincinnati Baltimore (-1) 1 p.m. 28-17 CIN
Buffalo Chicago (-7.5) 1 p.m. 34-20 CHI
Washington Houston (-3) 1 p.m. 27-23 HOU
Tennessee Kansas City (-3.5) 1 p.m 30-17 KC
New England (-5) Miami 1 p.m. 37-21 NE
Oakland NY Jets (-5.5) 1 p.m. 20-10 NYJ
Jacksonville Philadelphia (-11) 1 p.m. 33-16 PHI
Cleveland Pittsburgh (-7) 1 p.m. 30-13 PIT
Minnesota St. Louis (-3) 1 p.m. 27-20 MIN
San Francisco (-4.5) Dallas 4:25 p.m. 31-24 DAL
Carolina Tampa Bay (-1) 4:25 p.m. 24-17 CAR
Indianapolis Denver (-9) 8:30 p.m. 38-20 DEN
NY Giants Detroit (-5.5) 7:10 p.m. (Mon.) 27-21 DET
San Diego Arizona (-3) 10:20 p.m. (Mon.) 34-21 SD

Source: and

*Odds via

Week 1 Expert Predictions
Matchups Jason La Canfora Pete Prisco Jarrett Bell
Green Bay at Seattle Seattle Seattle Seattle
New Orleans at Atlanta New Orleans Atlanta New Orleans
Minnesota at St. Louis St. Louis St. Louis St. Louis
Cleveland at Pittsburgh Pittsburgh Pittsburgh Pittsburgh
Jacksonville at Philadelphia Philadelphia Philadelphia Philadelphia
Oakland at NY Jets Oakland NY Jets NY Jets
Cincinnati at Baltimore Baltimore Cincinnati Baltimore
Buffalo at Chicago Chicago Chicago Chicago
Washington at Houston Houston Washington Houston
Tennessee at Kansas City Kansas City Kansas City Kansas City
New England at Miami New England New England New England
Carolina at Tampa Bay Tampa Bay Tampa Bay Tampa Bay
San Francisco at Dallas San Francisco San Francisco San Francisco
Indianapolis at Denver Denver Denver Denver
NY Giants at Detroit Detroit Detroit Detroit
San Diego at Arizona San Diego Arizona Arizona

Source: CBS Sports and USA Today

*Pete Prisco and Jason La Canfora’s picks via

*Jarrett Bell’s picks via

Breaking Down the Experts

Breaking down the expert picks for Week 1 is an important part of the research fans should be doing before making their own predictions. These are the people who cover the league extensively and have the inside scoop on who will do well and who will struggle.

More so than ever, Week 1 will see experts picking the favorites in each game until there is actual regular-season game footage to judge off. Our experts this week are Jason La Canfora and Pete Prisco of CBS Sports and Jarrett Bell of USA Today.

La Canfora, Prisco and Bell agree on many games this week. The trio all believe that Seattle will start the season off with a win over Green Bay. In Sunday’s action, they are all riding with St. Louis, Pittsburgh, Philadelphia, Chicago, Kansas City, New England, Tampa Bay, San Francisco, Denver and Detroit to walk away victorious.

Most of the unanimous selections are betting favorites and the consensus pick to win, but it was stunning to see all three agree on St. Louis beating Minnesota despite the injury to Rams quarterback Sam Bradford.

Whose picks do you most agree with?

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It’s also telling that none of the experts gave Carolina the win over the Buccaneers.

It wasn’t all agreement, though, as La Canfora and Bell had similar mindsets this week. Both sided against Prisco by picking New Orleans, Baltimore and Houston to win. La Canfora went out on his own by picking San Diego over Arizona and Oakland over the New York Jets.

As the weeks progress, we will see differing opinions on many teams, and the predictions will be shaken up. Picking the better team heading into Week 1 is a mixture of studying tape and guesswork.

After Week 1, the experts and fans alike will have some hard evidence to go off when making their picks in Week 2.


*Stats via

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