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Pittsburgh Panthers vs. Boston College Eagles Betting Odds, Analysis, Prediction

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Pittsburgh Panthers vs. Boston College Eagles Betting Odds, Analysis, Prediction
Mary Schwalm/Associated Press

Former Big East conference rivals renew acquaintances when Boston College and Pitt meet for the first time as ACC rivals Friday night up in Chestnut Hill, Massachusetts.

The Eagles are on a good home run, going 5-1 both straight-up and against the spread over their last six games at Alumni Stadium, and they've covered their last four games as home dogs. Can they continue that run against the Panthers?

Point spread: BC Eagles opened as one-point favorites but are now four-point underdogs; the total was 49 at Alumni Stadium, according to sportsbooks monitored by Odds Shark.

Odds Shark computer prediction: 30.2-24.2 Panthers

 

Why the Pittsburgh Panthers can cover the spread

The Panthers opened their season with a 62-0 whitewash of Delaware, easily covering the spread as 24-point chalk. Pitt led 21-0 after one quarter and 42-0 at halftime, and it ended up outgaining the Blue Hens 501-57.

The Panthers have 13 starters back this season, including last year's top two rushers, leading receiver, four along the offensive line and three of last year's top four tacklers.

Pitt went just 2-3 SU, 1-4 ATS on the road last season, but those numbers are slightly misleading considering the Panthers missed the cover by two points at Duke, by four points at Virginia Tech and by two points at Georgia Tech.

 

Why the Boston College Eagles can cover the spread

The Eagles opened this season with a 30-7 victory at Massachusetts, covering the spread as 17-point favorites. BC started slowly, only leading 6-0 at the half, but pulled away in the second half for the win.

The Eagles outgained the Minutemen 511-202, ran 61 times for 338 yards, held the ball for over 42 minutes and would have pitched a shutout if not for a 77-yard UMass touchdown pass late in the third quarter.

Senior QB Tyler Murphy, a transfer from Florida, had a good debut for BC, hitting on 17 of 24 throws for 173 yards and a score and running for 118 yards and another score.

 

Smart Pick

This looks like it should be a very close game. BC might have an advantage at quarterback, but the Panthers have an edge up front. The Eagles only return nine starters, fewest in the ACC, but have been tough at home recently while Pitt has more returning talent but has struggled on the road.

In the end, this game might come down to a field goal and, if that's the case, the smart money would be with the home dog.

 

Trends:

  • Pittsburgh is 5-2 ATS in its last seven games
  • Boston College is 1-4 SU in its last five games when playing Pittsburgh

 

Note: All point spread and lines data courtesy of Odds Shark, all quotes gathered firsthand unless otherwise noted. Check out Twitter for injury updates and line move updates, and get the free odds tracker app.

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